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Week-Ahead Comment Jan 25: Policy concerns dominate

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joan2 Week Ahead Comment Jan 25: Policy concerns dominate

THE STRAITS TIMES Index (STI) fell for the second week in a row on continued fears that the Chinese government is starting to tighten liquidity aggressively. Last week, the STI ended at 2,819.7 points, down 3.1%. Compared with its high a fortnight ago, it is now down 3.9%, mirroring declines in bourses around the world. 

China’s economy grew 8.7% last year, beating the government’s 8% target, while 4Q2009 GDP rose 10.7%, the fastest growth rate in two years. The country’s central bank has raised the interest rate on its treasury bills to curb lending. Reports also say that some banks have been told to rein in lending because they failed to meet regulatory requirements while others have been asked to halt lending for the rest of January. The government is also expected to hike bank reserve ratios, for the second time this month, by another 50 basis points, before the Lunar New Year.

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