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Posts Tagged ‘Comment’

Weekend Comment Jan 28: SIA disappoints

WITH GLOBAL ECONOMIC growth expected to level off and inflation a mounting concern, Singapore Airlines appears to be facing potential headwinds that could disrupt its flight to recovery in the coming quarters.

The full-service carrier reported a disappointing set of third quarter results after the market closed on Jan 28, falling short of the average profit estimates of analysts tracked by Bloomberg. For the three months ending Dec 31, SIA posted a 29% y-o-y fall in net income to $288.3 million, after it booked charges of as much as $199 million relating to antitrust cargo fines.

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Weekend Comment Jan 21: What’s in store for SGX?

THIS WEEK, Singapore Exchange (SGX) welcomed its first listing for the year — China-based Zhongmin Baihui Retail Group — and saw the registration of prospectuses for two other offerings: Malaysia Smelting Corp (MSC) and Sri Trang Agro-Industry. Both those companies are expected to list before the month’s end and together with XMH Holdings, which is scheduled to commence trading on Wednesday next week, that makes four listings in January alone — not a bad start to the year.

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Weekend Comment Jan 14: Property market gets the chills

Singapore government’s measures to curb property speculation sent shares of city-state’s biggest developers down the most in 11 months today.

The Straits Times Real Estate Index fell 0.3% at the close, with three stocks falling for every two that gained. CapitaLand, Southeast Asia’s biggest developer, fell 3.4% to $3.71, while City Developments, the second largest, declined 4.6% to $12.16, both retreating by the most since Feb 22.

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Weekend Comment Jan 7: Jurong Point plays

GUTHRIE GTS and Lee Kim Tah Holdings are two retail mall plays which are trading below their net asset values. At 50 cents, Guthrie is trading below its NAV of 66 cents, at a price-to-book ratio of 0.75 times. Lee Kim Tah’s book value is 62.7 cents, and it is trading at a price-to-book of 0.9 times. The two companies own a 50% stake each in Jurong Point I, and a 25% stake each in Jurong Point II.

In a research note on Jan 7, Kim Eng Research raises the possibility of Guthrie GTS unlocking value of Jurong Point via a REIT. Following the completion of Jurong Point II, Jurong Point I and II together is Singapore’s largest suburban mall with a nett lettable space of about 750,000 sq ft, housing 450 shop units and adjacent to Boon Lay MRT station and a bus interchange.

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Thaci’s “Goebbels” comment angers Swiss

Kosovo Albanian PM Hashim Thaci has angered politicians in Switzerland when he compared the Marty report to the Nazi German propaganda of Joseph Goebbels.
According to Switzerland’s Le Matin daily, the comparison is violent and offensive to politicians in Switzerland.

Weekend Comment Dec 19: Buying opportunity in China

CHINA’S RUNAWAY ECONOMIC growth has fuelled investor confidence in Asian stock markets. But it has done little for the country’s own stocks. This year, China was the only Asian stock market that delivered negative returns. The Shanghai SE Composite Index is down 11.8% this year while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index is down 3.1%.
 

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Weekend Comment Dec 10: Switch from bonds to equity, says Nomura’s Darby

THERE IS A precedent for what is happening today in the markets. It’s a rerun of the early 1990s, says Sean Darby, Asia strategist at Nomura Securities. Back then, the newly-appointed Alan Greenspan at the Federal Reserve cut interest rates dramatically, setting off an enormous boom in emerging markets. “Thailand, Malaysia, Brazil — all those markets went up by nearly 100%,” Darby recalls, “What’s happening today is the same thing.”

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Khloe Kardashian Underfire For TSA Rape Comment

Call It An “Open Mouth, Insert Foot” Moment: Khloe Kardashian has gotten herself into hot water with victims’ right groups after she compared the controversial TSA airport scans and searches to being raped during an appearance on TBS late-night on Monday. “Well, they basically just are raping you in public,” Kardashian quipped on George Lopez’s [...]

Weekend Comment Dec 3: Osim goes to Taiwan

OSIM INTERNATIONAL, ASIA’S biggest maker of massage chairs outside of Japan, is planning to list Taiwan depositary receipts (TDR) on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) to take advantage of the booming Asia Pacific economy and rising disposable incomes during a climate of low interest rates.

The TDR listing aims to broaden and diversify the company’s shareholder base and provide it with an additional fund-raising platform for future expansion. Osim had previously mentioned that it would consider acquiring new brands in China to boost its presence in that country. The listing will also “strengthen public awareness of the Osim brand in Taiwan, which has been a key market for Osim products since 1987,” the company said in a statement on Dec 2.

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Weekend Comment Nov 26: In the mood for an IPO?

AFTER JUST A few hours of trading, units of today’s new debut Sabana Shari’ah Compliant Industrial REIT managed to end the day at $1.02, down three cents from their IPO price of $1.05. This was despite the relatively positive sentiment on this new issue. In a note to clients that was put out just before the commencement of trading, CIMB said that the stock “should do well in debut”.

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Weekend Comment Nov 19: Markets unnerved

INFLATIONARY FEARS CONTINUE to stalk markets this week. Already, Hong Kong is rolling out drastic measures to curb the inflow of “hot money” and property speculation. The SAR has already announced that a 15% stamp duty will be imposed for property bought and sold within six months starting from Nov 20, while downpayment for properties costing more than HK$12 million ($2 million) will rise to 50% from 40%. Further announcements are likely to be made during the weekend. Will Singapore follow suit? The government has already announced measures to keep public housing affordable through a series of curbs and has allowed the SGD to appreciate against its trade-weighted basket.

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Weekend Comment Nov 12: STX OSV rides shipping cycle

INVESTORS KEEN TO what seems to be the start of a new shipbuilding cycle now have another choice to place their bets: SGX’s first Norwegian offshore company STX OSV which made its Mainboard debut today, opening 7.6% higher than its IPO price at 85 cents. The stock ended lower at 81 cents with 58.7 million shares changing hands.
 
STX OSV designs and builds complex and customised offshore support vessels (OSVs), including platform support vessels and anchor handling tug and supply vessels, and offshore support and construction vessels capable of work in deep waters. It also produces specialised LNG-powered ferries, naval and coastguard vessels, fishing vessels and icebreakers. Its current order book consists of 64 vessels worth about $4 billion to be completed between 2010 and 2013.

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Weekend Comment Nov 4: Banks beat the Street

DBS GROUP HOLDINGS was the last to report results for the third quarter today. For Singapore’s largest bank, it was a record quarter. Net profit came in at $722 million, 15% above consensus of $629 million. United Overseas Bank reported a net profit of $688 million for 3Q10, up 37.5% y-o-y and 14.3% q-o-q. This is 16.4% above consensus expectations of $591 million. Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. reported 3Q10 net profit of $570 million, up 27% y-o-y and up 13% q-o-q. This is marginally above market expectations of $557 million.

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U.S. embassy clarifies Biden genocide comment

The U.S. embassy in Armenia has issued a statement about an online video, RFE/RL reports. In the video, U.S. Vice President Joe Biden says Armenian President Serzh Sarkisian told him not to “force” the issue of the Armenian genocide during Turkish-Armenian reconciliation negotiations.

Weekend Comment Oct 29: OUE poised for office space recovery

OFFICE SPACE AND stocks are once again in the limelight, following the sale of a one-third stake of Marina Bay Financial Centre Phase 1 to Suntec REIT by Cheung Kong Holdings at a price of $2,400 psf. Today, Kim Eng Research has an update on Overseas Union Enterprise, the property and hotel company that is now controlled by the Lippo Group owned by Indonesia’s Riady family. In the past two years, OUE has been steadily raising its office asset. It now owns One Raffles Place, 50 Collyer Quay, DBS Towers 1 and 2, 100% of Mandarin Orchard, 30% of Marina Mandarin, two Meritus Hotels in China and Mandarin Gallery, a retail mall.

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Weekend Comment Oct 22: SGX, ASX steal limelight from ADR launch

THE BIG NEWS of today was the Singapore Exchange is expected to make a full takeover bid for the Australian Stock Exchange on Monday. SGX is bigger than the ASX with a market value of around $10 billion against A$6.2 billion ($7.9 billion) for the ASX and is also trading on a multiple of 27 times against 17 times for the ASX. According to The Australian, the chairman and CEO will be from SGX and the deputy chairman will be from ASX.

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Weekend Comment Oct 15: Play the plantation laggard

NOT ALL THE news leading to the upswing in plantation stocks is good. In fact, in a report published today by CLSA titled Greed and Fear, analyst Christopher Wood blames the current inflationary trend in commodity prices on talk of quantitative easing in the West and the currency wars.

“It is quite possible that current conditions lead to a repeat of the commodity price-driven phony inflation scare world markets last experienced in 2007 and early 2008,” Wood writes.

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Weekend Comment Sept 24: China shipbuilders turn around

STOCKS OF CHINA shipbuilders Cosco Corp Singapore and JES International Holdings and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding have so far outperformed the STI. Year to date, Cosco is up 57% to close at $1.86 today, JES has more than doubled in price to 36.5 cents, and Yangzijiang is up by 46% to $1.76. During the week, Cosco and JES too were among the top volume movers. Is the worst over for China’s shipbuilders?

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Weekend Comment Sept 17: Transcu continues to innovate

LAST WEEK, Transcu Group, which appeared on the top volume list daily, rose almost 13% to close at 13 cents today. So, it was with anticipation when a bunch of dealers, analysts and media met up with CEO Akihiko Matsumura, and his younger brother Takehiko, CEO of Nanomizer Pte Ltd. Both brothers launched into an hour-long presentation of Nanomizer’s technology and its potential. Nanomizer is a private company, 100% owned by the Matsumuras. Transcu has an option to acquire 10% of Nanomizer, something that could be useful if Nanomizer lists. “Listing is on the horizon. If possible, Singapore would be good but in terms of valuation, Hong Kong or the US is better,” says the elder Matusumura, who owns 24.4% of Transcu.

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Thursday Comment Sept 9: Casinos and cruises

GENTING HONG KONGS management was in town for a roadshow this week. Its president, David Chua, along with Kingson Sian, president of Resorts World Manila, and Andrew Tan, chairman and CEO of Alliance Global Inc, one of Philippines’ largest conglomerates, gave presentations to broking houses and met up with dealers and investors.

Opened in Aug 2009, Resorts World Manila is a 50:50 joint venture between Genting Hong Kong and Alliance Global and is only 55% completed. Home to five-star Marriott Hotel Manila and the 172-suite Maxims Hotel, RWM is a five-minute drive away from the soon-to-be-open Ninoy Aquino International Airport’s Terminal 3. Another Remington Hotel is targeted to open in the first quarter of 2011. Upon completion, the total number of hotel rooms in RWM is expected to hit 1,300. A retail mall was completed in June and is likely to be operational by the end of the year.

 
When completed, RWM will also have three levels of casino space, says Chua. To date, only 200 tables and 1,200 slot machines are operational. By the end of the year, 300 tables and 1,300 slot machines should be up and running. Eventually, RWM will have 2,000 tables and 7,000 slot machines.
 
Already, 2.5 million visitors have walked through the complex, Chua adds. Although 4.3ha of the 7.8ha site has been developed, the total cost of building is estimated to be US$550 million ($738 million). That’s is a fraction of what Genting Singapore spent on Resorts World Sentosa.
 
UOB Kay Hian Research estimates that the 50% stake in RWM contributed about US$10 million to Genting Hong Kong’s 1H2010’s results. The company announced EBITDA for 1H2010 was US$50.5 million, up some 84.3% year-on-year. Total comprehensive income for the six months was US$15.4 million, a marked contrast to the US$57.9 million loss recorded a year ago.
 
CRUISE BUSINESS TURNING AROUND
Genting Hong Kong also operates a cruise business in Asia and owns a 50% stake in Norwegian Cruise Line.
 
Chua claims the cruise business is doing better despite the opening of the two IRs in Singapore, and that NCL’s business has reached an “inflection point”. Superstar Virgo, the cruise ship based in Singapore, is attracting passengers with new destinations, Chua says.
 
The Superstar Libra is also packed, he adds. According to UOB Kay Hian, NCL’s operations are turning around because of last year’s stringent cost-cutting efforts. NCL’s numbers was further helped by stronger ticket pricing and booking trends, UOB Kay Hian points out. Its occupancy rates were said to have inched closer to record levels, the broker says, adding, “This is indeed a positive surprise for us.”
 
UOB Kay Hian also points out that the cruise business’s Taiwan routes have turned a profit of US$3-4 million from a loss of US$5 million a year ago. “Efforts in Taiwan serve to position the group to explore land-based casino opportunities going forward,” UOB Kay Hian states in a recent report, “On the macro front, we learnt that a draft legislation is expected to go to the national assembly by year-end, followed by one or several referendums to seek local residents’ approval for the opening of casinos on the outlying islands… It was disclosed that a legal firm and a consultant firm has been appointed by the Ministry of Transport to spearhead efforts to bring about Taiwan’s first integrated resorts (IRs).”
 
According to the report, the EV/EBITDA is 19-20 times, which is rich. Compare this to the 11 times EBITDA that Genting Singapore sold Genting UK to Genting Malaysia, and the sector average of nine times, UOB Kay Hian says. But, of course, that does not fully reflect the potential of RWM. Genting Hong Kong last traded at 44 cents, up 69% year to date.
 
CHART VIEW
The STI (3,022) remains resilient following the strengthening of some medium-term indicators. However, the peaking of the short-term indicators this week could leave the market vulnerable to at least a temporary retreat. Watch for support first at 3,000 and then at 2,948 at the 50-day moving average. An earlier break above 2,900 indicated a target of 3,120. While bullishness pervades, the focus is on situational counters.
 
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