Hong Kong’s economy may be improving
Recent economic data show that the Hong Kong economy is continuing to contract, but also that economic stimulus packages being implemented both locally and internationally, coupled with large liquidity inflows connected to the resumption of initial public offerings (IPOs) on the Hong Kong market, are supporting the domestic economy. However, despite the apparent appearance of “green shoots”, the economy will continue to struggle for the next few quarters. Unemployment continues to rise, retail sales remain weak and external trade is still depressed.
Recent data releases continue to reveal signs of economic weakness. The continued slump can be seen in retail sales data, which showed a 4.8% year-on-year fall in June in value terms, and a 5.4% dip in volume terms. Large year-on-year falls in retail sales by volume were recorded for motor vehicles and parts (down by 15.2%), apparel (by 10.6%) and jewellery, watches, clocks and valuable gifts (by 8.2%). …