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Stocks slide on worries about economy’s path

NEW YORK (AP) — The latest durable goods report is giving the stock market new reasons to worry about the economy.
Stocks fell Wednesday after the Commerce Department said orders to U.S. factories for big-ticket manufactured goods dropped an unexpectedly steep 2.5 percent in June, the latest sign that the economy could remain troubled for some [...]

STI falls 5.01 to 2,619.03 on opening

Singapore’s benchmark stock index, the Straits Times Index, fell 0.19% at 9:05 a.m.

The index of 30 companies traded on Singapore Exchange fell 5.01 to 2,619.03. Among the stocks in the index, 9 rose, 16 fell and 5 were unchanged.

Declines in the Straits Times Index were led by DBS Group Holdings, United Overseas Bank and Noble Group. About 106.09 million shares changed hands in Singapore.

July 29: SIA, SingTel, Fortune REIT, F&N, Stats Chippac

The following companies may have unusual price changes in trading today, say Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters. Stock prices are from the previous close. The Straits Times Index advanced 1.8% to 2,624.04.

Financials may be subdued as the main US share indices were mixed, with technology stocks the only positive performers, as strong earnings reports were offset by the US consumer confidence index declining more than expected in July.

STI gains 1.8% to close at 2,624.04

The Straits Times Index advanced 1.8% to 2,624.04 at the close, its highest since Sept 9. Three stocks gained for each that declined on the 30-member gauge. The following shares were among the most active in the market today.

Developers: Shares of most developers gained ahead of planned sales of suburban residential projects.

IT Failing 1 in 4 Small Businesses, Says Effectiveness Index Survey

Survey results from the IT Effectiveness Index (ITEI) Mid-Year Report find IT is failing one in four small businesses and these businesses are finding themselves at a competitive disadvantage.

Initial results from a new
online survey designed to measure IT effectiveness at small businesses shows
almost one in four respondents score a “D” or “F” grade. According to the
IT Effectiveness Index (ITEI) Mid-Year Report 2009, another 37 percent of small
businesses are barely …


Value meal

A guide to valuing currencies against the dollar

WHICH countries has the foreign-exchange market blessed with a cheap exchange rate, and which has it burdened with an expensive one? The Economist’s Big Mac index, a lighthearted guide to valuing currencies, provides some clues. The index is based on the idea of purchasing-power parity (PPP), which says currencies should trade at the rate that makes the price of goods the same in each country. So if the price of a Big Mac translated into dollars is above $3.57, its cost in America, the currency is dear; if it is below that benchmark, it is cheap. A Big Mac in China is half the cost of one in America, and other Asian currencies look similarly undervalued. At the other end of the scale, many European currencies look uncompetitive. But the British pound, which was more than 25% overvalued a year ago, is now near fair value.

Decline slows

Taiwan’s deep recession may be easing

Several economic indicators point to a slight easing of Taiwan’s deep economic recession during the second quarter of 2009, following a 10.2% year-on-year fall in real GDP in the first quarter—the most dramatic single-quarter contraction since records began in 1961. However, Taiwan’s heavily trade-dependent economy will continue to suffer deeply in the next couple of years. The Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts that Taiwan’s real GDP will contract by 6.5% in 2009. The poor economic and financial environment abroad will continue to undermine Taiwan’s growth prospects in 2010, when the economy is forecast to expand by just 0.6%.

The composite index of leading economic indicators produced by the Council for Economic Planning and Development, which forecasts conditions over the next three to six months, reinforces our view that Taiwan’s economy, although showing signs of stabilising, remains weak. In May the index strengthened slightly for the fourth successive month, rising by 3.3% from April. Six of the seven components of the index—export orders, average monthly overtime in industry and services, book-to-bill ratios in the semiconductor machinery industry, monetary aggregate M1b (currency in circulation plus current-account and passbook deposits, and plus passbook savings deposits), stock prices and producers’ inventory—showed positive movement. However, the barometer, which uses five colours to measure the health of the economy, continued to flash blue, indicating recession, for the ninth month in a row. …

Inflation dips below 2% target

A broader measure of inflation using the retail prices index recorded the sharpest drop in the cost of living since 1948

Britain’s inflation rate dipped below the government’s 2% target for the first time in almost two years last month as cheaper food and soft drinks helped keep the cost of living in check, according to official figures released today.

Data from the Office for National Statistics showed inflation as measured by the consumer price index (CPI) fell from 2.2% in May to 1.8% in June.

A broader measure of inflation using the retail prices index recorded the sharpest drop in the cost of living since 1948. Prices were 1.6% lower last month than they were in June 2008.

Higher oil prices and more expensive imports caused by last year’s weakness in sterling has meant inflation in recent months has been higher than City expectations.

Today’s figures suggest, however, that the effects of Britain’s recession-hit economy are causing inflationary pressures to ease and will allow the Bank of England to persist with its twin strategy of ultra-low interest rates and boosting the money supply through quantitative easing.

Before June, consumer price inflation had been above the central bank’s 2% target since October 2007, peaking at 5.2% last September.

The biggest downward effect on the annual CPI rate came from food and non-alcoholic drink prices, which fell last month but rose in the same month last year.

Meat, bread, fruit, vegetables and dairy products all contributed. There was also downward pressure from furniture prices, which rose less than last year.

One upward pressure on the index came from the price of computer games, which rose by more than a year ago.

Analysts believe that inflation will continue to slow in the coming months.

“Much of the fall in RPI inflation reflects weaker mortgage payments, house prices and lower oil prices; all of these are excluded from core CPI inflation, which has been less volatile. But even core CPI inflation should wane over the next six months as the margin of spare capacity in the economy exerts greater downward pressure on underlying pricing pressures,” said Colin Ellis, European economist at Daiwa Securities.

Philip Shaw, chief economist at Investec, said he expected that CPI would have fallen to 1% by this autumn.

The newest member of the Bank’s monetary policy committee, Professor Adam Posen, told MPs that he was more concerned about undershooting the 2% inflation target than overshooting it.

“While the 2% target is right, if you overshoot a little one month here or one month there, it doesn’t necessarily mean you get an inflationary cycle,” Posen told the Treasury select committee during his appointment hearing.

“What Japan has demonstrated is that once you fall into a deflationary situation, it’s very hard to get out,” he added.

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German investor confidence falls

Trader at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange

Confidence among German analysts and investors has fallen in July for the first time since October 2008, an influential survey suggests.

The findings of the Zew economic sentiment index will temper hopes of recovery in Europe’s largest economy, observers say.

The index, which measures expectations of economic activity over the next six months, fell to 39.5 from 44.8 in June.

A Reuters poll had suggested analysts’ sentiment was improving.

But Zew said that respondents had expressed concern over whether lending to firms and households would work out – something that posed "considerable risk for the future development of the German economy".

A separate measure of current conditions rose slightly, to -89.3 from -89.7.

Germany’s economy shrank by 3.8% in the first quarter of 2009 on the back of slumping demand for exports.

Late last month, a separate survey suggested that firms in Germany were more confident than they had been for seven months.

The Ifo index climbed for the third month in a row to 85.9 in June from 84.2 in May – better than many analysts had been expecting.</p


This article is from the BBC News website. © British Broadcasting Corporation, The BBC is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.