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Collapse in illegal sharing of music

• Teenagers switching to streaming sites – survey
• Spotify and YouTube lead the way as habits change

They are the record companies’ bogeyman: the 15-year-old in their bedroom ripping off a star’s latest album and sharing it with their friends has been blamed for bringing an industry to its knees.

But new research shows that the number of teenagers illegally sharing music has fallen dramatically in the past year.

The survey of 1,000 fans also shows that many14 to 18 year olds are now streaming music regularly online using services such as YouTube and Spotify.

At the same time less than a third of teenagers are now illegally downloading music, the survey suggests. In January this year 26% of 14 to 18 year olds admitted filesharing at least once a month compared with 42% in December 2007.

The research revealed that many teenagers (65%) are streaming music regularly, with more 14 to 18 year olds (31%) listening to streamed music on their computer every day compared with music fans overall (18%).

The picture may be more complex than a simple shift from filesharing to streaming, with people sharing music in new ways such as via bluetooth technology, on blogs, and through copying, also known as ripping content from friends’ MP3 devices.

Even though users of streaming services are not necessarily buying more music, the industry benefits by learning more about fans’ tastes. Steve Purdham, CEO and founder of We7, a music streaming service and download store, said: “They may not buy an album, though they have that opportunity, but you can sell them tour tickets and a T-shirt of their favourite band.”

We7 has 2 million users a month and works with artists including Florence and the Machine and Jarvis Cocker to stream new albums before they are available to buy.

Paul Brindley, CEO of Music Ally, which carried out the survey with media and technology research company, The Leading Question, said: “These figures challenge the idea that filesharing will just continue to grow. While we don’t think for a second that it shows the war against piracy is won, it does at least suggest that there is encouraging news for the music industry.”

The government has pledged tougher measures to crack down on illegal filesharing, including sending warning letters to people making illegal downloads of music and films. Repeat offenders could also have their internet connections slowed down.

Music fan Dominique Wakefield, 24, said she had stopped downloading music because of concern that it would infect her computer. “I didn’t even realise it was illegal for a long time, until I heard that the government were trying to stop it. That did put me off, but one of the big reasons I stopped doing it was because I would get viruses, more pop ups on my computer. While I was at uni I started listening to streamed music using MySpace. Bands would be friends with other bands and it was a great way of discovering new music. I don’t really feel the need to own all that music, I know it’s always there.

“I still buy the occasional CD, and sometimes use iTunes. If I find myself loving a whole album and listening to it again and again, then I will buy it. But it has to be quite special.”

The rise of streaming sites is far from assured. Daniel Ek, the founder of Spotify – an ad-funded streaming site which also offers a premium subscription model – recently admitted that the service, which launched in October 2008 and now has 2 million registered users, was not on target to make its revenue forecasts.

We7, which launched six months ago and relies on selling adverts of between three to seven seconds before each song, is yet to break even. But Jim Butcher, a spokesman for Spotify, said the company was confident that the quality of the product would win over users, premium subscribers and advertisers. “One of the fundamental aims of Spotify was to develop a service that was better than piracy,” he said. “We’ve always maintained that music fans don’t want to fileshare illegally but they do want to have everything at their fingertips instantly.”

Legal digital sales are also seeing an unprecedented boom, although sales are far from making up from the shortfall created by the collapse of the physical market. Digital singles were up 41.5% in 2008, while physical singles sales plunged 43.5%, according to the BPI. Last year three albums – Coldplay’s Viva La Vida, Kings of Leon’s Only By Night and Duffy’s Rockferry – sold more than 100,000 digital copies, and the impact of digital is nowhere more apparent than in the UK singles top 40, where Michael Jackson has 12 posthumous entries in the current chart.

The new research – which involved 1,000 face-to-face interviews and a series of focus groups – also revealed that a fraction more music fans are regularly buying single track downloads (19%) than filesharing single tracks (17%).

Geoff Taylor, CEO of the BPI called the figures “absolutely encouraging”. He said: “The industry has worked hard to licence new services, they are great music discovery tools and a new way for artists to get paid and drive new sales.”

Francis Keeling, vice president of digital at Universal, welcomed the news but said streaming had to be combined with new services, such as the company’s new deal with Virgin Media which will offer broadband users unlimited downloads for a monthly fee. “We are confident that the numerous legal alternatives to filesharing will result in a long term reduction in piracy,” he said.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Collapse in illegal sharing of music

• Teenagers switching to streaming sites – survey
• Spotify and YouTube lead the way as habits change

They are the record companies’ bogeyman: the 15-year-old in their bedroom ripping off a star’s latest album and sharing it with their friends has been blamed for bringing an industry to its knees.

But new research shows that the number of teenagers illegally sharing music has fallen dramatically in the past year.

The survey of 1,000 fans also shows that many14 to 18 year olds are now streaming music regularly online using services such as YouTube and Spotify.

At the same time less than a third of teenagers are now illegally downloading music, the survey suggests. In January this year 26% of 14 to 18 year olds admitted filesharing at least once a month compared with 42% in December 2007.

The research revealed that many teenagers (65%) are streaming music regularly, with more 14 to 18 year olds (31%) listening to streamed music on their computer every day compared with music fans overall (18%).

The picture may be more complex than a simple shift from filesharing to streaming, with people sharing music in new ways such as via bluetooth technology, on blogs, and through copying, also known as ripping content from friends’ MP3 devices.

Even though users of streaming services are not necessarily buying more music, the industry benefits by learning more about fans’ tastes. Steve Purdham, CEO and founder of We7, a music streaming service and download store, said: “They may not buy an album, though they have that opportunity, but you can sell them tour tickets and a T-shirt of their favourite band.”

We7 has 2 million users a month and works with artists including Florence and the Machine and Jarvis Cocker to stream new albums before they are available to buy.

Paul Brindley, CEO of Music Ally, which carried out the survey with media and technology research company, The Leading Question, said: “These figures challenge the idea that filesharing will just continue to grow. While we don’t think for a second that it shows the war against piracy is won, it does at least suggest that there is encouraging news for the music industry.”

The government has pledged tougher measures to crack down on illegal filesharing, including sending warning letters to people making illegal downloads of music and films. Repeat offenders could also have their internet connections slowed down.

Music fan Dominique Wakefield, 24, said she had stopped downloading music because of concern that it would infect her computer. “I didn’t even realise it was illegal for a long time, until I heard that the government were trying to stop it. That did put me off, but one of the big reasons I stopped doing it was because I would get viruses, more pop ups on my computer. While I was at uni I started listening to streamed music using MySpace. Bands would be friends with other bands and it was a great way of discovering new music. I don’t really feel the need to own all that music, I know it’s always there.

“I still buy the occasional CD, and sometimes use iTunes. If I find myself loving a whole album and listening to it again and again, then I will buy it. But it has to be quite special.”

The rise of streaming sites is far from assured. Daniel Ek, the founder of Spotify – an ad-funded streaming site which also offers a premium subscription model – recently admitted that the service, which launched in October 2008 and now has 2 million registered users, was not on target to make its revenue forecasts.

We7, which launched six months ago and relies on selling adverts of between three to seven seconds before each song, is yet to break even. But Jim Butcher, a spokesman for Spotify, said the company was confident that the quality of the product would win over users, premium subscribers and advertisers. “One of the fundamental aims of Spotify was to develop a service that was better than piracy,” he said. “We’ve always maintained that music fans don’t want to fileshare illegally but they do want to have everything at their fingertips instantly.”

Legal digital sales are also seeing an unprecedented boom, although sales are far from making up from the shortfall created by the collapse of the physical market. Digital singles were up 41.5% in 2008, while physical singles sales plunged 43.5%, according to the BPI. Last year three albums – Coldplay’s Viva La Vida, Kings of Leon’s Only By Night and Duffy’s Rockferry – sold more than 100,000 digital copies, and the impact of digital is nowhere more apparent than in the UK singles top 40, where Michael Jackson has 12 posthumous entries in the current chart.

The new research – which involved 1,000 face-to-face interviews and a series of focus groups – also revealed that a fraction more music fans are regularly buying single track downloads (19%) than filesharing single tracks (17%).

Geoff Taylor, CEO of the BPI called the figures “absolutely encouraging”. He said: “The industry has worked hard to licence new services, they are great music discovery tools and a new way for artists to get paid and drive new sales.”

Francis Keeling, vice president of digital at Universal, welcomed the news but said streaming had to be combined with new services, such as the company’s new deal with Virgin Media which will offer broadband users unlimited downloads for a monthly fee. “We are confident that the numerous legal alternatives to filesharing will result in a long term reduction in piracy,” he said.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Collapse in illegal sharing of music

• Teenagers switching to streaming sites – survey
• Spotify and YouTube lead the way as habits change

They are the record companies’ bogeyman: the 15-year-old in their bedroom ripping off a star’s latest album and sharing it with their friends has been blamed for bringing an industry to its knees.

But new research shows that the number of teenagers illegally sharing music has fallen dramatically in the past year.

The survey of 1,000 fans also shows that many14 to 18 year olds are now streaming music regularly online using services such as YouTube and Spotify.

At the same time less than a third of teenagers are now illegally downloading music, the survey suggests. In January this year 26% of 14 to 18 year olds admitted filesharing at least once a month compared with 42% in December 2007.

The research revealed that many teenagers (65%) are streaming music regularly, with more 14 to 18 year olds (31%) listening to streamed music on their computer every day compared with music fans overall (18%).

The picture may be more complex than a simple shift from filesharing to streaming, with people sharing music in new ways such as via bluetooth technology, on blogs, and through copying, also known as ripping content from friends’ MP3 devices.

Even though users of streaming services are not necessarily buying more music, the industry benefits by learning more about fans’ tastes. Steve Purdham, CEO and founder of We7, a music streaming service and download store, said: “They may not buy an album, though they have that opportunity, but you can sell them tour tickets and a T-shirt of their favourite band.”

We7 has 2 million users a month and works with artists including Florence and the Machine and Jarvis Cocker to stream new albums before they are available to buy.

Paul Brindley, CEO of Music Ally, which carried out the survey with media and technology research company, The Leading Question, said: “These figures challenge the idea that filesharing will just continue to grow. While we don’t think for a second that it shows the war against piracy is won, it does at least suggest that there is encouraging news for the music industry.”

The government has pledged tougher measures to crack down on illegal filesharing, including sending warning letters to people making illegal downloads of music and films. Repeat offenders could also have their internet connections slowed down.

Music fan Dominique Wakefield, 24, said she had stopped downloading music because of concern that it would infect her computer. “I didn’t even realise it was illegal for a long time, until I heard that the government were trying to stop it. That did put me off, but one of the big reasons I stopped doing it was because I would get viruses, more pop ups on my computer. While I was at uni I started listening to streamed music using MySpace. Bands would be friends with other bands and it was a great way of discovering new music. I don’t really feel the need to own all that music, I know it’s always there.

“I still buy the occasional CD, and sometimes use iTunes. If I find myself loving a whole album and listening to it again and again, then I will buy it. But it has to be quite special.”

The rise of streaming sites is far from assured. Daniel Ek, the founder of Spotify – an ad-funded streaming site which also offers a premium subscription model – recently admitted that the service, which launched in October 2008 and now has 2 million registered users, was not on target to make its revenue forecasts.

We7, which launched six months ago and relies on selling adverts of between three to seven seconds before each song, is yet to break even. But Jim Butcher, a spokesman for Spotify, said the company was confident that the quality of the product would win over users, premium subscribers and advertisers. “One of the fundamental aims of Spotify was to develop a service that was better than piracy,” he said. “We’ve always maintained that music fans don’t want to fileshare illegally but they do want to have everything at their fingertips instantly.”

Legal digital sales are also seeing an unprecedented boom, although sales are far from making up from the shortfall created by the collapse of the physical market. Digital singles were up 41.5% in 2008, while physical singles sales plunged 43.5%, according to the BPI. Last year three albums – Coldplay’s Viva La Vida, Kings of Leon’s Only By Night and Duffy’s Rockferry – sold more than 100,000 digital copies, and the impact of digital is nowhere more apparent than in the UK singles top 40, where Michael Jackson has 12 posthumous entries in the current chart.

The new research – which involved 1,000 face-to-face interviews and a series of focus groups – also revealed that a fraction more music fans are regularly buying single track downloads (19%) than filesharing single tracks (17%).

Geoff Taylor, CEO of the BPI called the figures “absolutely encouraging”. He said: “The industry has worked hard to licence new services, they are great music discovery tools and a new way for artists to get paid and drive new sales.”

Francis Keeling, vice president of digital at Universal, welcomed the news but said streaming had to be combined with new services, such as the company’s new deal with Virgin Media which will offer broadband users unlimited downloads for a monthly fee. “We are confident that the numerous legal alternatives to filesharing will result in a long term reduction in piracy,” he said.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Former Health Insurance Exec Comes Clean About Industry Efforts To Discredit “Sicko”

On Friday’s edition of “Bill Moyers Journal” the PBS host sat down Wendell Potter, a former Head of Corporate Communications at health insurance giant CIGNA, to talk about how the industry crafted its plan of attack for discrediting Michael Mo…

Dan Imhoff: Chile’s Salmon Farms Verging on Breakdown

Salmon are not indigenous to Chile, but grown in crowded cages installed in the bays and estuaries of the country’s otherwise beautiful southern fjord region.

Bob Dinneen: The Days of Energy Malaise Are Over

So when are we going to wake up to the fact that our dependence on imported oil is worse than in the days of Carter’s “malaise”? And what are we going to do about it?

Scheme to let new drugs bypass NHS watchdog

• Drayson plans fast track for ‘innovative’ medicines
• Treasury fund would pay for high-cost treatments

Drug companies with “innovative” medicines would be able to bypass current safeguards and sell to the NHS at a high price under a fast-track procedure to be proposed next week by the Office for Life Sciences (OLS), run by science minister Lord Drayson.

The proposal, in a blueprint being prepared behind closed doors with input from the pharmaceutical industry, will effectively undermine the present system of approving medicines for the NHS. It will allow companies with medicines they claim are valuable and original to bypass the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (Nice), which currently must assess every new drug to ensure it offers value for money before it can be used in the health service.

The pharmaceutical industry has been fiercely critical of Nice since its inception in 1999 because it blocks sales of expensive drugs to the NHS that are of only limited benefit. Its protests have been backed by an outcry from patient groups, often partly funded by the pharmaceutical industry, which want new drugs to treat their particular condition.

The proposal comes from OLS, run by Drayson, a former drug company boss. His remit is the promotion of the life sciences as potential big earners for Britain. Lord Mandelson, whose business department oversees the OLS, believes pharmaceuticals are key to the revival of the economy.

The blueprint will recommend that medicines thought suitable for fast-tracking should be allowed into the NHS for a period of time without Nice scrutiny.

Pharmaceutical companies are reluctant to launch new drugs in the UK at low cost because 25% of the global market is influenced by the UK price. Under the OLS proposal, Nice would appraise the drug after perhaps three years – but at that point the company may be willing to drop the price here. Critics will say the proposal threatens to undermine Nice by allowing into the NHS costly drugs that may offer no real health gain.

It comes at a time when other countries are actively considering setting up equivalents to Nice. First among them, and most important for the pharmaceutical industry, is the US. President Obama is known to be interested in some sort of cost-effectiveness scrutiny of medicines, which is bitterly opposed by the industry.

Joe Collier, emeritus professor of medicines policy at St George’s, University of London and an adviser to the select committee on health’s inquiry into the pharmaceutical industry, said there were already safeguards in Nice to propel medicines that are truly innovative and needed into the NHS rapidly, and a fast-track proposal was not needed. “It should not need to embarrass the current arrangements. If it either is designed to, or it does, then the system has got to be rethought,” he said.

“If it is an attempt to undermine the Nice process or throw the Nice process, then it is misguided and mischievous.”

While the scheme is the brainchild of Drayson’s office, the implications for the Department of Health have led to cross-departmental negotiations, which were still going on at a late stage this week.

Crucial to winning the support of health ministers and primary care trusts‚ which foot drugs bills locally‚ has been the Treasury, which agreed to fund a pot of money to pay for “innovative” drugs, so the NHS does not have to bear the cost.

Who decides which drugs are sufficiently innovative may be more difficult. It is likely that Nice itself will be invited to help select them. Those that are original and claim to offer better treatment or a longer life – but to small groups of patients – will be prime candidates. One of the arguments for this approach is the invention of “targeted” drugs such as Herceptin, which work on people with a certain genetic make-up but not others.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Innovation@Intel: Intel Researcher Wins Industry Award for Improving Chip Reliability

Intel researcher Shubu Mukherjee is being recognized for his contributions to the reliability of microprocessors and other silicon chips by the Association for Computing Machinery Special Interest Group on Computer Architecture (SIGARCH). Mukherjee will receive the group’s 2009 Maurice Wilkes Award for the techniques and methodologies he’s developed that have laid the foundation for cost-effective solutions that can balance a processor’s soft error rate (SER) with performance, power, and area. The award is being presented on June 23rd at the International Symposium on Computer Architecture in Austin, TX. Mukherjee is a principal engineer at Intel and the author of a highly acclaimed book titled “Architecture Design for Soft Errors,” published in 2008.

Costly electricity

Prospects for plug-in electrics and hybrids continue to provoke much discussion in the industry. Last week, we heard that Daimler’s electric Smart has been formally given the go-ahead to enter commercial production next year. The Smart Fortwo (sorry Daimler, but I have to capitalise brand and model names) is a curious one. It’s perhaps an example of a car that was ahead of its time. In the looks department, it is much more acceptable now than it was back in the late 1990s. And a plug-in electric version seems to make good sense.


But the batteries are not going to be cheap. And that’s a problem: who pays? Will the customer pay for that? The vehicle manufacturer? Will governments tinker with regulatory frameworks to encourage take-up? There seems to be a consensus in the industry that governments will have to play a part in helping electric cars develop significant market penetration. And, the argument goes, the government needs to do that as part of a broader energy policy that addresses overall CO2 generation, renewable power and economic or energy security issues. There’s a lot to consider.


At some point though, the consumer is going to be asked to make a contribution to the additional costs associated with a battery pack and electric drive. Early adopters at initial low volumes may be fine with that. The interesting thing though will be the speed with which plug-in electric vehicles can become cheaper on a cost-per-unit basis as volumes become bigger. It will be something of a chicken and egg situation – which is why the regulatory framework is particularly important in terms of the fossil fuel relativities.


But would you pay almost GBP400 (USD650) a month to lease a Smart with electric drive? That’s some premium to ask the customer to pay. How quickly can that sort of figure come down and to what extent will the government subsidise these vehicles? One point that should not be lost: in Britain the government takes plenty of tax from motorists at the petrol pump, way more than is required for investment in roads. And Her Majesty’s Government needs every penny it can get, even if politicians like the sound of a greener electric future.

RESEARCH: Market projections for EVs and hybrids

Strange times

There is something strange going on in the auto industry. Despite the talk of massive overcapacity, the impact of recession and the oft-heard conclusion that the industry will consolidate into fewer, bigger carmakers, the opposite seems to be happening.


Smaller brands – Hummer, Saturn, Saab, Volvo Cars – are being sold off by bigger groups and, apparently, finding no shortage of potential buyer interest.


And the deal that would have clearly signalled that consolidation in Europe is coming – Opel and Fiat – isn’t happening. Not only that, but the new CEO at PSA – a firm often identified as a potential alliance or merger suitor for Fiat – has more or less said that size isn’t everything and that PSA can survive as an international business by focussing on growth markets.


Is that it then? Consolidation and rationalisation of production isn’t as pressing as some have been saying?


I don’t think so. But it’s also a more complex situation than it appears at first sight.


For example, if GM, with all its resources, couldn’t make Saab work, why should anyone else? Fair question, but an alternative business model that recognises past weaknesses and that perhaps comes with a sizeable initial dowry of assets from GM, might just be able to work.


Similarly, in looking at Magna’s proposed deal to acquire Opel/Vauxhall, the position of New GM is highly significant. If a close relationship continues across the Atlantic concerns over the new European entity developing new product ease somewhat.


I can’t help thinking though, that with the industry’s total volume pie in Europe suddenly quite a bit smaller, the overcapacity bullet will have to be bitten somewhere, sooner or later.


A lot has to transpire before we can see the extent to which the pain is shared. 


JD Power estimates that capacity utilisation at Europe’s car plants currently stands at around 50% – versus 80% as recently as 2007. JD Power’s baseline forecast has a return to an 80% capacity utilisation ‘norm’ in 2016. A rule of thumb is that car plants break even at 60-65% capacity utilisation.


There won’t be much recovery to capacity utilisation from the current 50% this year or next on current market assumptions (in 2010 Europe’s car market will likely decline after this year’s scrappage-inspired boost).  Conditions are therefore clearly ripe for further capacity rationalisation.


Manufacturers who ignore these fundamentals impose higher costs on themselves and impair their ability to be competitive – a sure recipe for potential long-term decline and eventual exit from the industry.

ANALYSIS: The age of deconsolidation