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Posts Tagged ‘opel vauxhall’

State aid for Opel gets politically messy

The political backdrop to Opel’s request for German government loan guarantees to help it finance its restructuring of European operations is messy – to say the least – on multiple levels.

This time last year GM was in Chapter 11 in the US and the firm’s European operations were heading for divestment to either a Magna-led consortium or an American-based private equity firm called RHJ. The German government was strongly backing the Magna proposal which appeared likely to protect more jobs in Germany. State aid was, it was made clear, being lined up to underwrite restructuring under the Magna consortium (which also included Russian bank Sberbank).

But then the EU competition people started asking awkward questions about the fairness of the bidding process vis a vis state aid at the same time as GM’s leaders concluded that it would actually be better to hang on to Opel/Vauxhall after all. The Magna deal was suddenly off and the German government was not at all happy with the outcome, though still mindful of the large number of Opel jobs in Germany. In fact, the German government  – with a general election coming up – was little short of furious with GM’s volte face.

Fast forward to this year and ‘New GM’ has chalked up a quarterly profit and trumpeted the early repayment of loans to the US and Canadian governments. Advisers have even been appointed to start looking at a GM IPO. New GM appears to be a US-led but international company that has been brought back from the brink and, in the eyes of many, should be able to manage its own affairs. 

As far as German domestic politics goes, there appear to be significant tensions within the coalition government there that have not helped. And in Europe generally there is the still looming eurozone fiscal crisis and Germany’s role at the heart of bailout plans as a donor to countries seen as fiscally irresponsible – unlike Germany.

Now is perhaps not the best time to be asking for state aid from Berlin and the company doing the asking is the one that provoked such ire last year.

Having said all of that, cooler heads will be counselling the politicians in Germany over the high stakes concerning Opel. Opel is important to the German economy. A way will likely be found to eventually get Opel the loan guarantees that it needs.

But it’s a messy political saga that isn’t being enjoyed by anyone – least of all Opel/Vauxhall’s workers. And you can understand why Opel/Vauxhall’s CEO Nick Reilly is frustrated with the situation. He wants to get on with the restructuring plan, but it’s the underlying politics that seem to be the problem. And he can’t do much about that.

HOT TOPIC: Opel government assistance decision disappoints

Opel/Vauxhall elements coming together

Although General Motors announced quarterly results last week that put it back in the black, its European operations remained in the red. But there was some good news for GM in Europe last week.

GM, you’ll recall, did a 180 last year on plans to sell its Opel/Vauxhall operations when it realised it could ride any associated liquidity issues. And if it could possibly hang on to Opel/Vauxhall, then that would be a sensible course of action, GM’s executives decided. Getting rid of superfluous brands is one thing, but a truly global car company needs market presence in Europe.

That just left the small matter of actually turning those European operations around. A restructuring plan has been devised that entails shutting Antwerp and re-jigging assembly operations elsewhere to get capacity utilisation near to where it should be. GM will inject funds into Opel/Vauxhall and loan guarantees are being sought from European governments where facilities are located – most notably the German government.

Last week we learned that Opel/Vauxhall’s European workers had agreed to measures that would substantially cut the company’s wage bill – in return for investment in new product. It’s an important step in getting Berlin to sign-off on loan guarantees.

That we are living in strange times is illustrated by the scale of the German government’s contribution to the EU’s eurozone bailout. The contribution from German taxpayers to help the likes of Greece is a staggering EUR148bn. The request for loan guarantees for Opel – to help protect jobs in Germany, remember – is up to a figure that is 1% of that. Strange times indeed.

There are challenges ahead (not least getting to break-even in 2011), but at least the elements in Opel/Vauxhall’s restructuring plan are now coming together.

A plan for Fiat and Chrysler: Let there be two Fiats

Italy’s biggest conglomerate splits itself in two to promote a carmaking merger

SERGIO MARCHIONNE, the boss of both the Fiat Group and Chrysler, likes to spring surprises. At a marathon presentation in Turin of his five-year plan for Fiat on April 21st he confirmed, as expected, that he is planning to separate Fiat’s other businesses from Fiat Auto as a precursor to creating a combined entity with Chrysler. But he also revealed, to the amazement of many, that Chrysler, in which Fiat received a 20% share last summer as part of a deal with the American government to turn the bankrupt carmaker around, had made an operating profit of $143m in the first quarter. Just as significantly, Mr Marchionne announced that its net debt had fallen from $8 billion in November to $3.8 billion.

Although it may have taken a good deal of financial engineering to produce such numbers, Fiat is easily exceeding its targets for restoring its affiliate to (at least short-term) health. Relatively undemanding milestones will quite soon take Fiat’s stake in Chrysler up to 35%. This, along with the news that John Elkann, a 34-year-old scion of the Agnelli family which holds a controlling interest in Fiat, would replace Luca di Montezemolo as chairman, cheered investors. Mr Elkann is also chairman of Exor, the Agnellis’ listed investment company which holds a 30% stake in Fiat. He has consistently supported Mr Marchionne in his efforts to transform Fiat’s subscale car business. Since last year that has meant backing him in the deal with Chrysler and the failed attempt to carry off a second distressed asset in the form of General Motors’ European unit, Opel/Vauxhall. Unlike Europe’s other great automotive dynasties—the Peugeots and the Quandts of BMW—Mr Elkann (who is a director of the Economist Group) appears more interested in unlocking value than in preserving family control. …

Opel/Vauxhall’s Nick Reilly today

I’m seeing Opel/Vauxhall CEO Nick Reilly later today for a group interview at a London restaurant. I last saw him in Geneva a few weeks ago (below link) but I wouldn’t pass up another chance to interview him as there’s so much going on.

There should be an update on Opel/Vauxhall restructuring. In recent months parts of the jigsaw  – like clarity on GM financial support for European operations and European governments’ loan guarantees – seem to have fallen into place.

One interesting thing about Reilly is his recent experience within GM – international operations in Shanghai and before that GM-Daewoo in Seoul, so hopefully the conversation will stray a little bit into those areas. Obviously the overwhelming priority is to get things right in Europe, but could Opel sell much more in China?

GENEVA SHOW: Reilly relishes new era for Opel/Vauxhall

Opel/Vauxhall’s Nick Reilly today

I’m seeing Opel/Vauxhall CEO Nick Reilly later today for a group interview at a London restaurant. I last saw him in Geneva a few weeks ago (below link) but I wouldn’t pass up another chance to interview him as there’s so much going on.

There should be an update on Opel/Vauxhall restructuring. In recent months parts of the jigsaw  – like clarity on GM financial support for European operations and European governments’ loan guarantees – seem to have fallen into place.

One interesting thing about Reilly is his recent experience within GM – international operations in Shanghai and before that GM-Daewoo in Seoul, so hopefully the conversation will stray a little bit into those areas. Obviously the overwhelming priority is to get things right in Europe, but could Opel sell much more in China?

GENEVA SHOW: Reilly relishes new era for Opel/Vauxhall

Geneva press day

I have been looking at my schedule for the first press day at the Geneva Show tomorrow (March 2). There are a number of formal interviews that have been arranged in advance. I’m seeing Didier Leroy of Toyota at 10:15am, Bob Lutz on the Chevrolet stand at 11:00am and Nick Reilly CEO of Opel/Vauxhall at 2:00pm. At 4:00pm there’s Allan Rushforth at Hyundai. In between, there’s a list of people who said ‘let’s meet up in Geneva’, a few more stands to call in on and, lest we forget, some new automotive metal to have a good gander at. 

It certainly won’t be dull.

Spark

Chevrolet Spark is an interesting vehicle and the latest instalment in the ambitious Chevrolet project. The thing with Chevrolet is to look at the global scale of sales for the value brand. There is a lot of volume for the BRICs, naturally.

And in Western markets – like the UK? The Aldi of the automotive world? UK MD Mark Terry spins an upbeat tale of not having enough Captivas to meet demand last year, of getting into new segments. The Orlando will be an interesting one.

I still don’t quite get how Volt works as a Chevrolet in markets outside the US where Opel/Vauxhall is selling it as Ampera. Well, they don’t sell fresh lobster in Aldi or Lidl do they? Actually, I’m told, they do. With more people from the more upscale supermarkets downtrading in the recession, they found demand for it. Brands and the way people perceive them aren’t set in stone.

Incidentally, I stayed in a prison cell for the Spark launch – well, it was once a prison but has been converted into a hotel. Cool place. You know that prison scene in the movie The Italian Job? When Noel Coward’s Mr Underworld walks down the staircase in the prison gallery to a rousing chorus of ‘England!’ from the other inmates. That was filmed there.

INTERVIEW: Chevrolet eyes organic UK market growth

Rationalising capacity in Europe

Last week saw General Motors in Europe move to close its Antwerp plant. Announcements of plant closure are never happy events, but this is an important step in improving GM’s European manufacturing efficiency and raising its rate of capacity utilisation. We will know more about GM’s European plans by the middle of next month when a business plan is finally supposed to emerge.


As Nick Reilly has said, they would rather get that Opel/Vauxhall business plan right than rush it. That’s fair enough, but further delay will cause consternation for the workforce and GM’s suppliers. There comes a point at which you have to put stakes in the ground and say to the world: this is the plan. And while we are on the subject of things appearing to be a little drawn out, it would be good to know what’s happening to Saab. Maybe this week we will find out.


Also on the European production capacity front, last week saw some curious goings on at Renault. It was mooted that the next Clio (Clio 4 – due to enter production in 2013) might be made wholly in Turkey and not in France. Turkey is a low-cost place to make cars and, although it is not a member state of the EU, it enjoys a customs union with the EU and so is a particularly good place to source cars cheaply for sale in the EU area. A number of manufacturers, including Renault, have been quietly expanding operations there over the past decade.


This Clio 4-from-Turkey-only possibility did not go down too well with the French government. President Sarkozy duly hauled Messrs Ghosn and Pelata into a meeting. Afterwards, Ghosn declared that there would be dual sourcing on Clio 4 – some continuing to be made in France (at the Flins plant) and some in Turkey. What was less clear was the split between the two locations. The French production is presented as being dependent on capacity considerations concerning the Zoe electric vehicle – due in 2012 – at Flins. So, it’s still a bit murky as far as Clio 4 in France goes. All Renault is signed up for is to make some in France. Numbers and the time period are unspecified.


But Sarkozy could claim he’d got something out of the meeting – an assurance that Clio will continue to be made in France. There are French regional elections in March, so that may explain some of the heightened political interest in French car companies right now. But, as Opel’s failed sale last year also demonstrated, the political dimension to capacity rationalisation in Europe remains important and frequently runs counter to business logic.


Later this week (on Thursday) Ford releases its 2009 Q4 and full-year financial results. Will they be good results, Ford posting a decent profit? Quite possibly if Ford’s Q4 sales figures are anything to go by. If Ford does post good financials it is likely that Alan Mulally will bring forward the guidance on when Ford will be full-year profitable from 2011 to 2010.


Ford has been through some pretty painful restructuring in North America to get its cost base there down. Sooner or later, European-based car companies will probably have to bite that bullet, however politically unpalatable, in order to have a shot at long-term success. Productivity improvements – helpful though they are – can only take you so far.

Ampera drive

They certainly are busy times at General Motors this week, what with the fallout from the board meeting yesterday. On a more workaday note, I should be getting a drive later today in the Opel/Vauxhall Ampera extended range electric vehicle (sibling to Volt) at Millbrook Proving Ground. There’s a presentation from Gherardo Corsini, GM Europe Director, E-REV Technology. And someone from Elektromotive is there to discuss charging infrastructure. Should be interesting. 

European production trends – sting in the tail

While next year will not see anything like the disruption to vehicle production in Europe that we saw this, there is the persistent problem of excess capacity. Some have even argued that it would be better if Opel/Vauxhall disappeared entirely, leaving healthier market conditions for those who are left. Whether you believe that or not, the blunt reality is that – on current projections – excess capacity and low capacity utilisation remain serious problems in Europe next year.


Whose capacity are we talking about though? Where - in terms of OEMs and plants – are the most serious structural overcapacity problems? Answers on a postcard please.


Anyway, it was interesting to catch up with the JD Power automotive forecasting bods in Oxford last week and chew the cud on such issues. I saw them at their offices and was then taken on a brief tour of the city afterwards. Lovely place. Some fine architecture.

COMMENT: Greater economic stability can’t hide Europe’s looming overcapacity problem

Can Brussels broker a deal?

I think I said just after GM had decided to hang on to Opel/Vauxhall rather than offload to Magna, that the politics is far from over.


GM’s acting head of European ops Nick Reilly is clearly doing the rounds with a begging bowl to see what state aid/loan guarantees are going to be forthcoming from national European governments where there are plants/jobs at stake.


He appears to have pressed the right buttons in the UK, but that was always a case of pushing at an open door given what went before when Magna was in the Opel frame.


Affable Nick, an ex-Vauxhall man, saves the day and gives a slightly desperate British government a small crumb of positive industrial/economic PR. Sounds like he knows how to choose his words very carefully. There’s ‘a chance’ to save more jobs at Vauxhall than under the Magna-led proposal. It’s all mights and maybes, the unions and workers no doubt wondering where it could yet all end up.


And no, he says, turning to a broader European audience, we don’t want an unseemly beggar-thy-neighbour ‘bidding war’ with national governments on state aid that could end up upsetting Brussels again. Well, actually maybe we do want that because we’re happy for European taxpayers to give us a helping hand and the bigger the better, but we don’t want Brussels then stamping all over it on competition grounds.


Hang about, maybe we can get Brussels to act as an honest broker for a collective deal that still gives us pretty much what we want? I’ll just carry on fanning the flames for a little while longer by emphasising the importance of state aid and stressing that nothing is yet cast in stone. Let’s keep those cheque-books nice and handy.


Yes, as the EU says, economic criteria is very important. But we seem to be very much in the realm of politics and there’s still a lot to be decided. Don’t be surprised to find that ‘affable Nick’ was not all that he seemed. Someone somewhere isn’t going to like that new Opel/Vauxhall business plan when it finally emerges. Will that plan adhere 100% to business principles or will there be signs of political fudging?


And can Brussels actually broker a deal of some sort next week? Maybe all sides should realise that now is the time for consensus and for GM’s European business to be given a chance to be run as a business.

EU: EU to host Opel/Vauxhall meeting

Still fragmented Europe

Following GM’s decision last week to hang on to Opel/Vauxhall rather than sell to a consortium led by Magna, the fallout continues. But the fallout is not exactly unexpected. After the initial and predictably strong political reaction, especially in Germany, there’s the realisation that people have to deal with a new set of circumstances to get the outcomes they want – or the ‘least bad’ ones.


Restructuring was coming down the tracks anyway, whoever eventually owned Opel/Vauxhall. Is GM’s plan going to be much different from what Magna was preparing? The differences are maybe less than many people were thinking. Magna was playing the politicians to some degree, to win support for its bid in Germany. It played that game very well.


And now, GM will be looking very carefully at how it approaches relations with national governments in Europe, especially Germany, where half of Opel/Vauxhall 50,000 strong workforce is based. Be careful not to take all of what you see in the press at face value.
If you were at GM and planning to visit Berlin soon to lay out a new business plan, you might want to stoke the cost-cutting fires up a bit before rocking up with a few olive branches for Mrs Merkel. Shut Bochum? No, where did you hear that? We just want to resize the plant for new market conditions and modernise it…


That things are so highly politically charged for GM is a consequence of having a multi-national footprint in Europe. The European Union, you see, is still – in reality – a rather fragmented place. There’s a duality to the ‘European project’ that the Opel/Vauxhall saga has amply demonstrated. Sure, there’s never been a shortage of grand designs and ideas aimed at consolidating European political unity – the Lisbon Treaty is the latest example – but when push comes to shove, competing national interests come to the fore.


What’s best for Opel/Vauxhall from a business perspective has been rather lost in the political horse-trading on which plants and jobs might go under restructuring. Look across the EU and you’ll see very big differences in the way countries are run, lifestyles, cultures, the way that economies function, levels of taxes and so on. Is that a good thing? In some ways yes, in some ways perhaps not.


But when fundamental national interests or jobs are at stake it’s pretty clear that, in Europe, the business case for a particular course of action may be subject to a good deal of political interference coming from nation states.

GM does eleventh hour U-turn on Opel/Vauxhall sale

America’s carmakers make a comeback: Rinsed and raring to go

After a terrible year there are signs of hope for Detroit

AMERICA’S carmakers appear to have returned from the grave. This week the three big ones—Ford, General Motors and Chrysler—all had good news to report. Ford recorded a wholly unexpected profit for the third quarter of nearly $1 billion, thanks in large part to a huge improvement in its North American operations. Sergio Marchionne, boss of Fiat and now Chrysler, laid out a detailed five-year plan for restoring the American company to health in a seven-hour presentation. Most sensationally, GM’s board, citing both the improving business environment and the firm’s own recovering financial health, reversed its decision to sell a majority stake in Opel/Vauxhall, its European subsidiary, to Magna International, an Austrian-Canadian partsmaker, and Sberbank, a Russian bank. Both GM and Ford were also able to post year-on-year increases in sales in October, of 4.7% and 3.3% respectively.

A year ago, such a turnaround seemed unimaginable. GM had declared losses of $4.2 billion in the third quarter and Ford of $2.7 billion. Both firms had burned their way through nearly $7 billion of cash each during the quarter. The smallest of the three, privately held Chrysler, did not say how much it had lost, but an educated guess was about $2 billion. …

America’s carmakers make a comeback: Rinsed and raring to go

After a terrible year there are signs of hope for Detroit

AMERICA’S carmakers appear to have returned from the grave. This week the three big ones—Ford, General Motors and Chrysler—all had good news to report. Ford recorded a wholly unexpected profit for the third quarter of nearly $1 billion, thanks in large part to a huge improvement in its North American operations. Sergio Marchionne, boss of Fiat and now Chrysler, laid out a detailed five-year plan for restoring the American company to health in a seven-hour presentation. Most sensationally, GM’s board, citing both the improving business environment and the firm’s own recovering financial health, reversed its decision to sell a majority stake in Opel/Vauxhall, its European subsidiary, to Magna International, an Austrian-Canadian partsmaker, and Sberbank, a Russian bank. Both GM and Ford were also able to post year-on-year increases in sales in October, of 4.7% and 3.3% respectively.

A year ago, such a turnaround seemed unimaginable. GM had declared losses of $4.2 billion in the third quarter and Ford of $2.7 billion. Both firms had burned their way through nearly $7 billion of cash each during the quarter. The smallest of the three, privately held Chrysler, did not say how much it had lost, but an educated guess was about $2 billion. …

Opel/Vauxhall – the final twist?

I can’t help wondering if yesterday’s GM announcement that it wants to retain Opel/Vauxhall really is the final twist. Has a piece of the jigsaw that we don’t yet know about just fallen into place? Are some old private equity ‘friends’ in a position to help with capital for restructuring in return for some equity in GM Europe?


GM in the driving seat with an acquiescent investor partner simply eyeing a return on investment with maybe even a buy-back option for GM in, say, three years when everything is looking a whole lot better on the Opel/Vauxhall finances?


It’s just a thought, but if something like that were going on in the background, it probably would have not been announced at the same time as yesterday’s announcement for reasons of political sensitivity. Better to say that GM simply prefers to retain Opel than that it is also actually planning on giving a significant stake to, say, RHJ which is making a billion dollars immediately available for essential restructuring and investment. That news might be better to break to governments after the Magna-deal-off fuss has died down a bit and a new business plan is available.


Look, there have been so many twists in this saga I can’t help inventing my own.

COMMENT: GM looks to the future over Opel/Vauxhall

Opel/Vauxhall saga runs on

I think it’s fair to say that the Vauxhall Astra UK media launch at the Ellesmere Port plant (where it is made) last week was a tad overshadowed by the continuing uncertainty facing GM’s European operations.


This has been a saga running for many months now and the longer it goes on, the more frustrated people inside Opel/Vauxhall, understandably, must become. And I don’t blame them.


We’re supposed to be a matter of days away from a deal to give Magna a majority stake in Opel/Vauxhall, but it would seem that the behind-the-scenes negotiations over governments’ financial support and any ‘guarantees’ over future employment or volume/model allocations to plants are far from being sorted out. It is also far from clear what the position of the EU will be on state aid and where it has gone or is going.


Has this whole process been political? You bet. Is it messy? Yes, very and on so many different levels.


Buried in the footnotes of the ongoing Opel/Vauxhall industrial saga is the simple fact that GM Europe has come up with another very, very good car in the latest Astra. It has had rave reviews.


There is surely much to value in an organisation that can develop and produce top quality mass-market cars. That, at least, is something very positive for everyone at Opel/Vauxhall to justifiably feel good about.
One way or another it is pretty clear that this company will carry on in business. And it will retain a pretty substantial manufacturing footprint and the critical engineering mass to develop products.


The people at Magna may have concluded that in the long-run there’s a lot more to making Opel/Vauxhall work than simply where individual plant capacity utilisation figures and productivity stand right now, or indeed over the next few years.


Future product and volume growth will count for a lot. And big infusions of government money can certainly dull any immediate cost pain if some plants have to be ‘carried’ for a while. It’s a question of balance and where the cost sums come out, as well as the more fuzzy political considerations – which don’t sound cut and dried, by any means.
And are there big potential synergies for Magna in running Opel and having a Tier 1 business? You bet.


Will the Magna deal be completed very soon or are there still some twists ahead? Don’t rule out more twists. But I think I speak for many when I say I hope the fog of uncertainty over Opel/Vauxhall’s ownership lifts soon.

HOT TOPIC: Opel-Magna deal not yet done

GM retaining Opel/Vauxhall

It sounds like GM is pulling out all the stops to go with the preferred option of retaining Opel/Vauxhall though nothing is official yet. It was always a reluctant seller and the very public posturing by the German government with respect to the Magna bid may actually have helped GM in its discussions with other European governments in countries with Opel/Vauxhall plants. ‘So, Mandy, what can the British government do for us should we want to, let’s say, hang on to our European operations with a view to restructuring operations ourselves and retaining the most efficient plants?’ We may get a statement later today.

DECISION DAY: GM seen keeping Opel

GM retaining Opel/Vauxhall? Yes…maybe not

It sounds like GM is pulling out all the stops to go with the preferred option of retaining Opel/Vauxhall though nothing is official yet. It was always a reluctant seller and the very public posturing by the German government with respect to the Magna bid may actually have helped GM in its discussions with other European governments in countries with Opel/Vauxhall plants. ‘So, Mandy, what can the British government do for us should we want to, let’s say, hang on to our European operations with a view to restructuring operations ourselves and retaining the most efficient plants?’ We may get a statement later today.


[13:30 BST] Yes, we will – an Opel Trust press conference in Berlin is taking place in Berlin at 16:15 CET at which Fred Irwin and John Smith ‘will announce the decision on the investor in a majority stake in Opel/Vauxhall’. Decision ‘on the investor in a majority stake’? Has that given the game away? Does that mean it is indeed a sale, after all?


There is still plenty of speculation in all directions. A more reliable leak from the board could spring at any moment, but we’ll know soon enough, so we may as well all calm ourselves down.


Why has this whole thing been so protracted? Maybe GM bent over backwards to work out a way to retain Opel (consultants were on the case, also) but in the end concluded that the cost would be too high and there were just too many potentially thorny problems associated with upsetting Germany’s government (of whatever complexion) and also the conditions attached to GM’s federal aid in the US.   

DECISION DAY: GM seen keeping Opel

GM rethinks the sale of Opel: Looking for reverse

General Motors switches gear in its row with Germany’s government

EVER since General Motors, on the verge of bankruptcy earlier this year, proposed selling Opel/Vauxhall, its unprofitable European arm, it has found itself at odds with the German government. The latter wants to save as many of the 25,000 jobs at Opel’s four German factories as possible; the former to minimise the losses of a business in which it will maintain a stake. The dispute has become so heated that GM, which emerged from bankruptcy last month, is now toying with scrapping the sale altogether.

GM’s board, exasperated by the onerous conditions being imposed by both politicians and unions, has rejected a proposal to sell over half of Opel to Magna, a Canadian car-parts firm backed by two Russian partners: Sberbank, a state-owned bank and Gaz, another carmaker. The government had offered €4.5 billion ($6.4 billion) to finance this deal, but said it would provide nothing to a rival buyer, RHJ International, a Belgian financial firm, for fear that it would cut more jobs. This blatant grandstanding in the run-up to the country’s general election in late September infuriated GM’s new directors. …

Opel/Vauxhall: could it be any messier?

The latest straws in the Opel sale wind risk making an already politically complex situation even more so. The suggestion is that GM is now wondering if there’s a way to hang on to Opel after all.


We have gone quite a long way down the track for that possibility to suddenly pop up, but this is the more self-confident, post-Chapter 11 ‘New GM’ that has been through the ringer. It is clearly unimpressed by the terms of a prospective sale to Magna.


Attitudes in Detroit may have been hardened by the apparent lack of progress in protracted negotiations with Magna and the relentless pressure being applied by the German government for GM to pick Magna over RHJ.


The cash-flow position of GM’s European operations is also less urgent than it seemed earlier this year. Sales in Europe aren’t great and Opel/Vauxhall has lost share this year, but the sales picture could be much worse (there has been some lift from scrappage incentives) and a new Astra is at least imminent.


Hanging on to Opel might mean putting the begging bowl out to other governments in Europe, but it may just about be possible to put together a deal that keeps Opel afloat and GM in charge. Presumably, GM could then make the restructuring moves it believes are necessary in Germany without interference from the German government.


Needless to say, this scenario would probably cause something akin to fury in Berlin. Obama’s phone would be red-hot.


Is this latest twist merely a negotiating ploy to wrest concessions from Magna? If so, it’s a risky one because the labour unions in Germany now appear ready to take industrial action that Opel can ill-afford. They may have concluded that they have nothing to lose and that they have kept their powder dry for long enough.


There’s never a dull moment in this saga, but you can’t help sympathising with the Opel/Vauxhall workers across Europe who would like things resolved and the ability to properly plan ahead, once more.

OPEL LATEST: Now GM may keep Europe unit