RSS Feed     Twitter     Facebook

Posts Tagged ‘World news’

Greece frees UK mother accused of killing baby

A British woman who has been imprisoned for the last year on charges of killing her newborn son in a holiday apartment on Crete has been released from prison.

Leah Andrew, 21, was told she was free to return to the UK after a court acquitted her of murder in a case that has gripped Greece.

Andrew’s lawyer, Zoe Lama, said her client would be able to leave the country in the next few days once paperwork was completed in Athens. The fact that she was well behaved in prison and learned to speak Greek played a role in the court’s decision.

The mother-of-two from south London had been charged with stifling the baby boy after giving birth, unassisted, while on holiday in Malia on Crete.

Three out of four judges, convening on the island, voted to clear her of murder. Two previous appeals for her release had been unanimously rejected by magistrates citing a coroner’s assessment that the baby had been deliberately suffocated.

As the verdict was announced, the student burst into tears, hugged her parents, Isaac and Pamela, and sobbed: “I never killed my baby, I never killed my baby.”

During a package tour holiday last July, Andrew, who had hidden her pregnancy from friends and family, went into labour after returning to her apartment alone.

She was discovered by her sister, Lydia, lying in a pool of blood on the floor with the baby swaddled in a large knotted sheet beside her. She claimed she had wrapped him in the sheet, assuming he was stillborn after he failed to move or cry.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


DNA reveals trail of ivory smugglers

Scientists have used a revolutionary genetic technique to pinpoint the area of Africa where smugglers are slaughtering elephants to feed the worldwide illegal ivory trade.

Using a DNA map of Africa’s elephants, they have found that most recent seizures of tusks can be traced to animals that had grazed in the Selous and Niassa game reserves on the Tanzania and Mozambique borders.

The discovery suggests that only a handful of cartels are responsible for most of the world’s booming trade in illegal ivory and for the annual slaughter of tens of thousands of elephants. The extent of this trade is revealed through recent seizures of thousands of tusks in separate raids on docks in Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam, the Philippines and Japan. These were aimed at satisfying the far east’s growing appetite for ivory, a new status symbol for the middle classes of the region’s swelling industrialised economies.

As a result, ivory prices have soared from $200 a kilogram in 2004 to more than $6,000. At the same time, scientists estimate that between 8% and 10% of Africa’s elephants are now being slaughtered each year to meet demand.

“In the past, law enforcement agencies – including Interpol – thought these shipments of ivory had been put together by traders cherry-picking small stockpiles across Africa,” said Professor Sam Wasser, director of the University of Washington’s Centre for Conservation Biology, where the DNA elephant map was developed.

“Our work shows that isn’t true. The vast majority of poaching is being carried out by a few big organisations – possibly one or two major syndicates – that are targeting one area and then hammering its elephants. It is grim, but it also suggests we can target our anti-poaching efforts very specifically by focussing efforts on these regions.”

At present, Tanzania is at the centre of the world’s ivory slaughter. However, other work by Wasser and his team indicates that different areas, including parts of Zambia and Malawi, have been targeted in the recent past.

Ivory poaching was halted by an international campaign in the 1990s after it reached a peak between 1979 and 1989, when more than 700,000 elephants were killed for their tusks. However, aid that helps African nations fight poachers has dried up and the illegal ivory trade has returned to its previous high levels.

Killing for tusks is a particularly gruesome trade. Elephants are highly intelligent animals whose sophisticated social ties are exploited by poachers. They will often shoot young elephants to draw in a grieving parent, which is then killed for its tusks. “Our estimates suggest that more than 38,000 elephants were killed using techniques such as this in 2006 and that the annual death rate is even higher today,” said Wasser.

His team’s technique – outlined in the current issue of Scientific American – involves two separate sets of analyses. First, volunteers and researchers across Africa collected samples of elephant dung. Each contains plentiful amounts of DNA from cells, sloughed from the intestines of individual animals. These provide material for DNA fingerprints, which have since been mapped for the whole of Africa. Animals from one area have very similar DNA fingerprints, the researchers have found.

As part of the second analysis, a section of tusk seized from smugglers is ground up and its DNA is carefully extracted. Again a DNA fingerprint is made and compared with those on the dung map, in order to pinpoint the origin of the elephant.

In this way, Wasser and his colleagues analysed ivory seized when more than 11 tonnes of tusks were found in containers in raids on Taiwan and Hong Kong docks in July and August 2006. About 1,500 tusks were discovered and all were traced to elephants from the Selous game reserve, a Unesco heritage site in Tanzania, and the nearby Niassa game reserve in Mozambique. However, Japanese authorities – who had made another seizure of ivory that summer in Osaka – refused to co-operate and have since burnt the 260 tusks they found before their origins could be established. “You can draw your own conclusions,” said Wasser.

Since then, major seizures of ivory have been made in Vietnam and the Philippines, both this year, and Wasser and his team are now preparing to use their DNA map to trace its origins.

“Ivory is now traded globally in the same illegal manner as drugs and weapons,” said Wasser. “It is shameful that this has happened and we need to press the countries whose elephants are being targeted this way and get them to halt this trade.”

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Britain demands releaseof Iran embassy staff

Foreign secretary calls detention of Tehran officials for alleged role in post-election unrest ‘unacceptable harassment’

David Miliband, the foreign secretary, has angrily refuted allegations that Iranian employees of the British embassy in Tehran played a role in the post-election protests of the past two weeks.

In the latest in a series of spats between the two countries, Iran detained several local embassy staff for playing a “significant role” in the unrest, which has seen serious clashes between demonstrators and security forces.

Miliband, speaking from a meeting of EU foreign ministers in Corfu, said the government was “deeply concerned” at the arrests. “This is harassment and intimidation of a kind that is quite unacceptable,” he said. “We want to see them released unharmed.”

EU foreign ministers later issued a joint statement calling on Iran to release the embassy staff, and warning that “harassment or intimidation” would be met with a “strong and collective” response.

Miliband said he believed nine local staff had been detained, although four had since been released. “We have protested in strong terms, directly to the Iranian authorities, about the arrests that took place yesterday.

“All European countries have made clear that they want to stand together in standing up for the diplomatic principles that are important for our diplomatic activity all over the world.

“At the moment our top priority is the position of our locally-engaged staff who we want to see released unharmed and back to work.”

State-run Iranian TV and the semi-official Fars news agency gave only limited details of the arrests. But one report said the arrested people were members of the embassy’s political section and that one was brought back to his apartment later on Saturday as computers and documents were seized.

The Iranian staff include a highly-regarded senior politicial adviser whose job is to keep the ambassador and colleagues abreast of the Islamic republic’s complex internal politics.

“We are still concerned about a number of them who have not been released,” said Miliband. “These are hard-working diplomatic staff and the idea that the British Embassy is somehow behind the demonstrations and protests that have been taking place in Tehran in recent weeks is wholly without foundation.”

The news from Tehran came after days of attacks on Britain by the Iranian authorities and media, who have singled it out for encouraging unrest after the presidential election on 12 June, in which the incumbent, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, was declared the winner.

The British embassy is in a sprawling compound behind 10ft walls on Ferdowsi Avenue in central Tehran. It has scores of local employees. Harassment or intimidation by Iranian security forces are common. Arrests are not.

Last week, as protests continued over the “stolen” election, Iran expelled two British diplomats – the embassy’s second and third secretaries – in protest at what it called their “undiplomatic” approach. That prompted the retaliatory expulsion of two diplomats from Iran’s London embassy. The families of British embassy staff have left Iran.

Iran’s foreign minister, Manouchehr Mottaki, warned that Tehran was considering downgrading ties with Britain. The intelligence minister, Gholamhossein Mosheni-Ejei, has said some people with British passports were involved in violence.

The Greek-British journalist and Guardian contributor Iason Athanasiadis, also known as Jason Fowden, has been detained. The BBC correspondent Jon Leyne was expelled last week.

The opposition leader Mir Hossein Mousavi alleges massive fraud in the election, saying he is the rightful winner, not Ahmadinejad.

Iranian politicians and media are continuing attacks on Britain. On Friday a senior hardline cleric, Ahmed Khatami, lashed out at Britain in a nationally televised sermon. “In this unrest, Britons have behaved very mischievously and it is fair to add the slogan of ‘down with England’ to the slogan of ‘down with USA,’” he said. Ominously, Khatami also called for the execution of what he called “rioters’ leaders”.

The previous week, the regime’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, lambasted Britain as the “most evil” country.

The MP Parviz Sarvari told Fars on Saturday: “The nation’s tolerance for Britain’s hidden policy of interference is over. There would be a crushing response. An independent and powerful country like Iran would not allow any other country to interfere in its internal affairs. Unfortunately, Britain is continuing its espionage-centred and deceitful approach.”

Iranian-British relations have long been dogged by mutual suspicions and resentment but have worsened since the war in Iraq and Ahmadinejad’s presidency. Iran’s nuclear ambitions and support for Hezbollah and Hamas have kept the regime at odds with Britain, the US and other western countries. January’s launch of BBC Persian TV infuriated the Iranians, whose harassment forced the closure of the British Council offices in Tehran.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Police question Jackson doctor

Second postmortem carried out on instruction of dead pop star’s family as former nanny claims he had his stomach pumped ‘many times’

Attempts to answer questions surrounding Michael Jackson’s death continued today as police in Los Angeles interviewed the pop star’s doctor and a second postmortem was conducted at the instruction of the Jackson family.

Conrad Murray, the singer’s personal cardiologist, “is in no way a suspect” and “answered every and all questions asked by LAPD in an attempt to help piece together the mysteries surrounding the death of Michael Jackson”, a spokeswoman for his attorney said today.

The second independent autopsy was carried out after the Los Angeles county coroner released the singer’s body to relatives, the Los Angeles Times reported today. The Rev Jesse Jackson, a close friend of the Jackson family, said they had deep concerns over allegations linked to Jackson’s prescription drug use and the role of Murray in the last hours of the singer’s life.

Murray was present when Jackson, 50, collapsed, but, contrary to standard practice, did not sign the death certificate.

A former nanny who looked after Jackson’s children said today the star had his stomach pumped “many times” after taking prescription drugs.

Grace Rwaramba, 42, told the Sunday Times: “I had to pump his stomach many times. He always mixed so much of it.

“There was one period that it was so bad that I didn’t let the children see him … He always ate too little and mixed too much.”

The spokeswoman for Ed Chernoff, Murray’s attorney, added: “During the meeting Dr Murray helped identify the circumstances around the death of the pop icon and clarified some inconsistencies.

“Dr Murray has been in Los Angeles since the death of Mr Jackson. He rode in the ambulance to the hospital and stayed at the hospital for hours comforting and consoling the Jackson family. Investigators say the doctor is in no way a suspect and remains a witness to this tragedy.

“Dr Murray will continue to cooperate fully with the authorities and asks that all keep the Jackson family in their prayers.”

The spokeswoman said Jackson hired Murray to accompany him on his sell-out comeback shows in London and that the doctor would remain in Los Angeles as long as his assistance was needed with the investigation.

Police will want to know whether early attempts to resuscitate Jackson were botched. On a tape of conversations between the Jackson home and the ambulance service, one of Jackson’s staff tells the operator that a doctor was administering cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) on the bed.

Medical experts say it is standard practice for CPR to be given on a hard surface because it is difficult to compress the chest on a soft surface. The operator told the caller to place Jackson on the floor.

Jesse Jackson said the family had a series of questions they wanted answered: “When did the doctor come? What did he do? Did he inject him? If so, with what? Was he on the scene twice? Did he use the Demerol? It’s a very powerful drug. Was he injected once? Was he injected twice?”

Coroners in the case said yesterday there was no suspicion of foul play but toxicology tests would take several weeks.

Last night Jackson’s manager, Frank DiLeo, described breaking the news of their father’s death to Jackson’s three children, Michael, 12, Paris, 11, and Prince Michael, seven, known as “Blanket”. “Michael’s mother Katherine was with them. They were waiting there together for news. I think she feared the worst, but the children had no idea their whole world had ended.”

DiLeo added: “Whatever anyone thought of Michael, he was loved by those children, truly loved. They were – and are – in pieces.”

The children’s grandmother is looking after them in the home in the Los Angeles suburb of Encino that Jackson bought for her. Last night, DiLeo told how the “outpouring of emotion is something I shall live with for the rest of my life”. He said: “It was the single most painful moment of my life. I cannot tell you how difficult it was. Those children just fell to pieces. The emotions poured forth.”

Last night, the Rev Al Sharpton, a friend of the singer’s, said the Jackson family were considering a series of simultaneous global celebrations to make sure Michael is remembered for his music. He has been asked to meet the family today and said they were “frustrated” at the attention being paid to Jackson’s personal problems.

Jackson’s family also want to know more about the role of AEG Live, the concert promoter due to stage his 50-date concert series at London’s 02 Arena. They want to investigate the role of his advisers and representatives and believe they were put in place by the promoter.

According to AEG Live, Jackson summoned the cardiologist to Los Angeles to help him prepare for his gruelling concert schedule. Jackson had been losing weight and missing rehearsals, but the team with him the night before he died insisted he was back on top form.

Randy Phillips, chief executive of AEG Live, said the company was due to advance a significant amount of money to Murray and the doctor was to accompany Jackson to Britain.

Murray has not been seen in public since the death, and police have impounded a car found at Jackson’s home that belonged to Murray’s sister. But they do not suspect foul play.

Since he died, Jackson’s alleged use of prescription drugs has emerged as the main focus of inquiry of those who are seeking to understand why he suffered a cardiac arrest.

News reports have described a massive regimen of powerful painkillers, including daily injections of Demerol and OxyContin, both of which are opiates. Jackson was injected with Demerol an hour before he collapsed.

He was believed to have several personal doctors, and Murray is thought to have been living at Jackson’s home. Asked if the Jackson family were concerned about Murray’s role, Jesse Jackson said: “They have good reason to be … he left the scene.”

The death of Jackson has dominated global news media. What will happen to his estate and his children has yet to be sorted out and is likely to dominate headlines for weeks. Particular attention is focused on Jackson’s funeral, which could rival the public outpourings of emotion that marked the funeral of Diana, Princess of Wales.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Jackson nanny reveals grim routine

Nanny gives grim account of singer’s final months, detailing drug abuse, out of control spending and nomadic lifestyle

The nanny who looked after Michael Jackson’s three children said today the star had his stomach pumped “many times” after taking a dangerous cocktail of prescription drugs.

Grace Rwaramba, 42, said : “I had to pump his stomach many times. He always mixed so much of it. There was one period that it was so bad that I didn’t let the children see him … He always ate too little and mixed too much.”

The revelations, in an interview with the journalist Daphne Barak, came as as a second postmortem was believed to have taken place on the orders of the Jackson family in an attempt to answer many of the questions surrounding the pop star’s death.

Los Angeles police yesterday confirmed news reports that Jackson had become “heavily addicted” to the powerful painkiller OxyContin and had received an injection of Demerol, another opiate, an hour before his death.

Detectives are expected to interview Rwaramba about whether she helped administer the drugs. Coroners in the case said yesterday there was no suspicion of foul play but toxicology tests would take several weeks.

The nanny said she once called in Jackson’s mother, Katherine, and sister, Janet, to attempt an “intervention” to persuade the singer to recognise his addiction to painkillers.

But she said Jackson accused her of betraying him: “He didn’t want to listen; that was one of the times he let me go.”

Rwaramba, who is from Rwanda, worked for Jackson for more than a decade, first as an office assistant and then as the nanny to his children, Michael Jr, known as Prince, aged 12; Paris, 11; and Prince Michael II, seven, nicknamed Blanket.

Her grim account of Jackson’s final months is detailed in an interview with Barak, published in the Sunday Times and the News of the World.

She said the singer’s lavish spending was out of control, and that he led an increasingly nomadic lifestyle, moving from country to country and hotel to hotel.

She was dismissed for a final time last December but still visited the children. When she saw them in April she claims Jackson was so broke she had to buy “happy birthday” balloons for Paris on her own credit card.

On an earlier occasion the singer had sent her to Florence to buy antiques for $1m. “We didn’t even have a home to live in. So we had to put the antiques in storage,” she said.

Rwaramba, who flew from London to Los Angeles yesterday in the hope of being reunited with the children, could potentially find herself at the centre of the billion-pound custody battle for. There are conlficting reports as to whether the mother of the eldest two, former nurse Debbie Rowe, is seeking custody. The Jackson family are reported to be offering Rowe visitation rights.

“I took these babies in my arms on the first day of each of their lives. They are MY babies,” Rwaramba told Barak.

She claims she was sacked by Jackson because she was getting too close to the children but had fully expected to be reinstated soon.

She said would reguarly fire her then beg her to return as he was unable to look after the children or himself.

She told Barak: “These poor babies. . . I was getting phone calls that they were being neglected. Nobody was cleaning the rooms because Michael didn’t pay the housekeeper.

“I was getting calls telling me Michael was in such a bad shape. He wasn’t clean. He hadn’t shaved. He wasn’t eating well. I used to do all this for him and they were trying to get me to go back.”

One theory behind Jackson’s massive drug regimen is that he was taking them to combat the stress of his forthcoming 50 shows at the O2 arena in London. The nanny said: “Fifty performances! I told him … what are you doing? He said, ‘I signed only for 10.’ He didn’t know what he was signing. He never did.”

Rwaramba also claims the Nation of Islam gained a growing influence over the singer’s financial and personal affairs. She says the sect told the singer it cost $100,000 (£60,000) a month to rent the mansion he was living in until his death, but she believes similar properties were on the market for no more than $25,000 a month.

The sect supplied bodyguards to the singer and allegedly intimidated auction houses that were selling Jackson memorabilia.

“Michael had no idea about money,” Rwaramba said. “He got a proposal to make an appearance in Japan for $1m … By the time everyone took their share, he ended up with $200,000.”

Whatever money Jackson had he would hide in black rubbish bags and under the carpets at the Los Angeles house, according to Rwaramba. She said Katherine Jackson rang her in London at 7am on Friday to ask where the money was, possibly to stop it being stolen.

The children will stay with their grandmother and grandfather Joe at the family home in Encino, California, sources close to the Jacksons yesterday told the TMZ entertainment website, which broke the news of his death,.

They said: “We’re told the family is 100% behind this, feeling that Katherine and Joe Jackson are the only people who can help the children understand who their father was, help them grieve, and teach them to deal with life in the spotlight.”

But US legal experts speculate that the mother of the two eldest children would stand the best chance of winning any custody battle. Iris Finsilver, the lawyer for Jackson’s former wife, Debbie Rowe, stated that her client would seek to look after the children.

Rwaramba claims the children had a difficult relationship with their father. She said: “I used to hug and laugh with them. But when Michael was around they froze. I really miss Blanket. He makes me laugh. Only recently, he decided to do a concert for me. He was so cute, singing Billy Jean and other songs by his father.

“I was laughing so hard. Prince and Paris were playing around. It was such a happy moment. Then suddenly Michael walked in and the kids just looked frightened. Michael was so angry.

“Michael always got angry. But what was most shocking to me is that the children don’t even have a teacher. They can’t play with other children and don’t have a teacher to help them learn about the world.”

Deepak Chopra, a close friend of Jackson, told the News of the World: “The kids love Grace and kids called her mum. And she was the only person that told Michael the truth about his life.”

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Scottish man dies from swine flu

73-year-old man from Glasgow, who had been in intensive care for 15 days, is second Briton to die from swine flu virus

An elderly man from the Glasgow area has become the second Briton to die from swine flu.

The 73-year-old, who had other very serious underlying health problems and has not yet been named, died at the Royal Alexandra hospital in Paisley late on Saturday night. He had been in intensive care for 15 days, health officials said.

Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish health secretary, said: “Our thoughts are with the family and friends of the patient at this tragic and very sad time. The family have asked for the patient’s identity to be kept private.

“Although it is concerning that the patient had swine flu, we are aware that the patient had very serious underlying health issues.”

A family spokesman said: “Our beloved relative was private in life and we would ask that his privacy continues to be respected as we try to come to terms with our loss.”

The first Briton to succumb to the H1N1 virus, Jacqui Fleming, also died at the Royal Alexandra after giving birth prematurely to her third child. She was the first person outside the Americas to die with the virus.

Fleming also had significant underlying health problems, and had been critically ill for several weeks before she died. Her baby, named Jack by her partner, William McCann, died the following day.

Health officials have repeatedly stressed that the virus appears to be relatively mild, despite its rapid transmission around the world.

The latest official figures show that 4,322 Britons have so far contracted the virus, with significant outbreaks now in Birmingham, London and the Glasgow area, but health experts believe the real figure will be much higher.

In the United States, specialists at the Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta estimate that at least one million Americans may have had swine flu and not been diagnosed, although the official figures on Friday put confirmed US cases at 27,717, with 127 deaths.

However, the virus is now spreading quickly in the southern hemisphere, where it is winter – the traditional season for flu epidemics.

In Australia, where confirmed cases stood at 3,280, four people have now died, all with underlying health problems. There have been 21 deaths reported by the World Health Organisation in Argentina and seven in Chile. The last WHO update put total cases at 59,814 with 263 deaths.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Obama stumbling? The hell he is

On Iran, gay marriage and the economy, the president is taking flak. But critics ignore the profound changes he is delivering

It’s a handy rule of thumb in Washington: a president’s fortunes can be divined by the way the White House press corps treats him. Think of George W Bush. At the height of his powers in 2003, reporters jockeyed for his favour, which he expressed by bestowing nicknames and sharing wisecracks. By the time Iraq and Katrina had ruined his presidency, the same hacks competed to see who could most effectively humiliate the president before a live audience.

So it was an ominous sign for Barack Obama last week when he appeared in the White House for a press conference that was his most uncomfortable to date. Reporters who had thus far treated him with deference and even admiration treated him with something close to disrespect. Obama, as the New York Times put it, “has rarely experienced as combative and contentious an hour on live television as he did on Tuesday afternoon”. Had his response to Iran, one asked, been “timid and weak”? Another tweaked the president’s “Spock-like language” about healthcare reform. One even grilled an increasingly irritated president about his furtive smoking habits. The treatment left Obama a bit testy. “I got it,” he groused. “You’re pitching, I’m catching.”

Indeed he has been catching – catching flak, that is, from critics on left and right and over both his foreign and domestic agendas. As he approaches the six-month mark of his presidency, his job has become less glamorous and more gruelling. Allies in Congress are restive and for the first time, the whiff of failures and defeats is in the air. Thus the new tone from the White House press corps, which, like animals in the wild, preys on the weak. But don’t be fooled by this dark patch. Obama’s long-term prospects remain bright.

Start on the domestic front. Here, Obama faces two titanic challenges. The first is the economy. An unexpected spike in jobless claims announced last week doused hopes that the economic downturn had finally reached an inflection point. With unemployment now approaching 10%, higher than the administration had predicted, Republicans are rallying around the argument that Obama’s $787bn stimulus bill passed in February isn’t working and amounts to a massive, deficit-swelling waste. “With all the spending that’s gone on, where are the new jobs?” asked House Republican leader John Boehner. Lately, some of Boehner’s colleagues are even fantasising about riding such talk to retake the House of Representatives in the 2010 midterm elections. (The Senate is a steeper climb for Republicans.)

It’s true that if the economy fails to recover within the next year, no amount of hope and change can save Obama’s presidency. But those 2010 elections, the first real referendum on his performance, are still 16 months away. That leaves plenty of time for the economy to pick up steam. Moreover, polls show that most Americans still blame the economic doldrums on Bush. And while stimulus dollars have been frustratingly slow to be distributed, that will soon change, with the stimulative effect likely to kick in well before the midterms, dashing the hopes of many a Republican candidate.

Obama’s second domestic trial will be healthcare. Anyone who recalls Bill and Hillary Clinton’s attempt to cover America’s 40-plus million uninsured citizens in 1994 understands that, if mishandled, the issue can cripple a presidency. Congress is beginning to craft a healthcare plan with Obama’s guidance and the early going hasn’t been pretty. Proposals have carried eye-popping price tags ($1.6 trillion, according to one preliminary estimate by a Senate finance committee), while covering a disappointingly small number of Americans. Nor have the Democrats quite settled on how they will pay for a massive expansion of care. Last week, a prominent House Democrat pronounced that “healthcare reform is on life support”.

Don’t be surprised if Obama resuscitates it. Although many Democrats are nervous about his plan’s cost, it remains quite popular with the voters to whom those Democrats answer. Moreover, Republicans and business lobbies have been slow to organise against Obama’s plan or present credible options, something GOP strategists call crucial to victory. As for the money, it can always be found (deficits can be tackled another day) and the plan’s ambitions can be reduced if necessary. As White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel has said about healthcare: “The only thing non-negotiable is success.” And the current Democratic majorities in Congress are large enough that Emanuel will not have to eat his words.

Obama is tiptoeing around other domestic land mines. The only thing that makes his congressional Democratic allies more nervous than supporting sweeping and expensive healthcare reform is the grand climate-change plan, passed by the House on Friday. However urgent it may be to fight global warming, public support for environmentalism drops dramatically in times of economic distress. But look for Obama to settle for a modest plan – a symbolic victory – rather than accept a stark political defeat. He can return to climate if need be. That may upset liberals, who are already fuming at him for not doing more to support gay marriage or the prosecution of people who authorised torture in the Bush era. But when push comes to shove, will such critics abandon Obama? Not likely.

Foreign policy is harder to predict and Obama is still learning on the job. Take the recent uprising in Iran. Obama first said little to encourage the protesters, then strongly condemned the regime. It was undeniably an uncertain response, hence the “timid and weak” charge. On the bright side, the world has witnessed the brutal face of the regime, which should make it easier for Obama to win tough international sanctions in the (likely) case that planned diplomatic attempts to talk Iran out of a nuclear bomb go nowhere.

Then there are Afghanistan and Pakistan. Thus far, Obama has been in crisis-management mode, trying to keep the government in Islamabad from falling apart and firing his top general in Afghanistan for poor management of the war effort there. But conditions may soon improve in both countries; the Pakistani military is finally cracking down on Islamic radicals. Meanwhile, Obama has ordered 21,000 more American troops to Afghanistan. But many analysts think that, much like the Iraq surge, the fight against the Taliban is eminently winnable if there are enough troops and the right counterinsurgency strategy is adopted.

So imagine, then a possible world of June 1 2010. The economy has rebounded and Obama, citing his stimulus package, is claiming the credit. A major (if not perfect) healthcare reform bill has passed, handing Obama a historical policy achievement in his first year. Iran is being squeezed hard by a disgusted international community, led forcefully by Obama, perhaps prompting a new reformist uprising against the clerics. The Taliban are at last on the run in Pakistan and Afghanistan. And, oh, by the way, the US is substantially pulling out of Iraq.

It will take luck – and more than a little political skill – for Obama to achieve such stellar results. But he’s never wanted for either. It will also take something else, however: the firm support of his fellow Democrats. There are signs that some in Obama’s party have studied the polls and the economic figures and may be wondering whether their self-interest may soon diverge from that of the president. But in fact, the Democrats’ fate is inextricably tied to Obama’s success.

Without him, the party is not particularly popular. These nervous Democrats should remember that moving an agenda as big as Obama’s was never going to be easy. But that even in difficult moments like these, his popularity remains durable and his prospects for success are better than they may appear. Perhaps Obama should propose a new motto for his party: Together we stand, divided we fall.

• Michael Crowley is a senior editor of the New Republic Magazine

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds


Defence black hole ‘may finish Trident’

Big projects must go to save billions, experts say

Defence projects worth billions of pounds, such as replacing the Trident nuclear deterrent, could have to be axed to help fill a “black hole” in the defence budget, senior military and political figures will warn tomorrow.

Overstretch of the armed forces must be ended, according to a report whose authors include the former Nato secretary general, Lord Robertson, ex-Marine Lord Ashdown and former chief of the defence staff Lord Guthrie.

They argue that Britain should no longer struggle to maintain a full range of defence capability like the US and instead consider scrapping up to £24bn of future “big ticket” projects – including two new aircraft carriers, the F35 joint strike fighters designed to fly from them, six new Type 45 destroyers, four new Astute hunter-killer submarines and the replacement of the Vanguard submarines carrying Trident.

The report from the National Security Commission, convened by the thinktank the Institute for Public Policy Research, argues Britain still needs a nuclear deterrent but should seek cheaper alternative or patch up the Vanguards.

However, it makes clear that even if unjustifiable spending is axed the defence budget may still need more public money. It calls for boosting the armed forces from 98,000 to 120,000 personnel and the creation of a new stabilisation force to tackle situations like postwar Afghanistan and Iraq.

Yesterday Des Browne, who as Labour’s defence secretary pushed the Trident decision through parliament, welcomed the report, telling the Observer that while it was the right choice at the time to upgrade the system, possible alternatives were now emerging.

“I never, ever thought that the decision about Trident closed the debate down,” he said. He also confirmed claims of a black hole, adding: “There is an order book which outstrips the department’s capacity to pay for it – that’s no secret.”

The report is embarrassing for Gordon Brown, who yesterday marked Britain’s first Armed Forces Day at a ceremony in Kent. He has refused to discuss possible public spending cuts despite the recession and denied that overstretch hampers Britain’s defence capability.

But Guthrie insisted the human costs of underfunding were high: “My concern is that we have soldiers who are dying because of inadequate equipment.”

A spokesman for the MoD said its budget was in the longest period of sustained real growth for over two decades. “Of course, there are always things we could spend a bigger budget on, but our job is to manage within our allocation, recognising that the financial situation is now difficult right across the UK.” The nuclear deterrent was an investment “that as a nation we can and should afford”.

• Scottish secretary Jim Murphy yesterday hit out at “sickening” protests which disrupted an Armed Forces Day parade in Glasgow. Several people were arrested and one person was injured. The protesters, believed to have been an Irish republican group, began chanting during a service in George Square. Murphy said: “These people stand against every value the veterans we celebrated today fought – and died – for and they must know that the majority of Scotland has no time or patience for their vile views.”

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Cows on list of countryside dangers

A herd trampling on a woman vet and injuries inflicted on former home secretary David Blunkett highlight the risk of attacks by cattle, especially if calves or dogs are nearby. Anushka Asthana reports on the need for ramblers to be ‘animal aware’

Thomas De Quincey, the 19th-century critic and essayist, once stated: “Cows are amongst the gentlest of breathing creatures.” Many might disagree.

Farm worker Mike Scriven, for instance. He was left with severe bruising last week after being chased across a field by a 450kg cow. Scriven, 46, who was trapped under the animal’s body for almost an hour, escaped only by gouging its eyes repeatedly.

Or David Blunkett, the former cabinet minister, who is nursing two broken ribs after being charged by a cow while walking his guide dog, Sadie, in the Peak District this month.

A third incident ended in tragedy last weekend. Liz Crowsley, 49, a vet, was trampled to death by a herd of cows in the Yorkshire Dales. Her two dogs, a spaniel and collie cross, fled to safety.

Perhaps the animal for which De Quincey professed a “deep love” is not always as docile as city dwellers might think. Figures reveal that attacks by cows are by no means unusual. According to data released by the Health and Safety Executive (HSE), there have been 67 incidents in the past five years in which a member of the public has reported being injured by cattle. In six of the cases, which do not cover 2009, the person was killed.

The risk is even greater for farm workers whose injuries are recorded separately. Over the same period there were 23 fatal incidents involving farmers and their employees, another 300 that resulted in “major” harm and 277 in which the injury took more than three days to heal. Far more go unreported.

Blunkett has been inundated with messages from people who have suffered similar attacks. “I have had letters flooding in – from people telling me about personal experiences, family experiences, who have been in hospital for three weeks after an incident, who have had family members killed, and a couple of letters from people whose dogs were crushed,” he said. People had also thanked him for drawing attention to the problem: “If I hadn’t been who I am, no one would know about it. Although I went to hospital I doubt they would have reported it. There is usually a category for road traffic accident – but for being crushed by a cow?”

Blunkett, MP for Sheffield Brightside, was out walking with his son on his 62nd birthday when they came across the cattle. They put Sadie on a lead to walk around the animals when one cow broke away and charged towards them. “My son was trying to protect me but the cow decided to have a dive at the dog and it knocked me down,” he said. “I think it kicked me because I have bruising all over and a couple of broken ribs.”

After the incident, Blunkett said he had found out there was a new cross-breed of cow. “A particular strain from Europe that is more aggressive,” he said, arguing that in such cases temporary electric fencing should be used. “Most of the rights of way in the Peak District cross over fields, so I think fencing should be considered, and walkers have to be extremely careful – especially if they have dogs.”

Since right to roam legislation opened up vast areas of the countryside, the HSE has published guidance about the “potential hazards” posed by cattle. It tells farmers to “plan and take action”. Tips include assessing if the animals are generally placid or well behaved, erecting temporary fencing and placing signposts on paths. “If you have an animal known or suspected to be aggressive, then you should not keep it in a field that is used by the public,” it warns.

Tony Mitchell, from the HSE’s agriculture and food sector safety section, said: “Cattle are classed as a non-dangerous species and by and large are generally docile. Their inquisitive nature is often mistaken for aggression. However, if they feel threatened by unusual disturbance, such as dogs, or when maternal instincts are aroused, then they may react in a threatening manner.”

According to the HSE, the two most common factors in attacks involving members of the public are “cows with calves” and “walkers with dogs”.

“Over the years a lot of people have been under the misconception that a bull in a field is the most dangerous thing,” said Alistair Bull, livestock manager at Thelveton Farms, near Diss in Norfolk. “The most serious incidents take place when there are groups of suckler cows that have calves with them – because they have that maternal instinct to protect their calves. You would not walk into a pen with elephants or giraffes when they have just given birth.”

Bull said he advised walkers not to let dogs off their leads when close to cattle. “What happens is the dog gets chased and it runs straight back to its owner with a cow in hot pursuit. And cows do not tend to attack singly. If you think of wildlife programmes, the matriarch comes forward with her infantry behind. To a person from town, that dog is part of the family so their first instinct is to rescue it, but the next minute they will have 750kg cows charging around them. It is a recipe for disaster.”

Part of the problem, said Bull, was that more and more people coming to the countryside were “less animal aware”. But he admitted it was not just the public who were at risk. The “most scary” moment of his life was when he and a colleague used a dog to help round up a herd of suckler cows. “Within 20 seconds one of the cows attacked the dog. Then the others started bellowing – a warning cry. The dog came galloping back to us and within seconds we were surrounded by 40 cows. We were petrified – we thought we’d had it. They turned from docile cows to a mob.”

Adrian Morris of the Ramblers’ Association said walkers should appreciate that the countryside was a working environment. “We get two to three queries a week related to incidents involving animals, with one or two a year that have been serious. Quite often we hear stories about people having to run across a field to the nearest stile. It is difficult to know how much is perception and how much reality.”

A spokesman for the National Farmers’ Union added: “Attacks by cattle are extremely rare. If you feel threatened, just carry on as normal, do not run, move to the edge of the field, and if possible find another way round. And remember to close the gate.”

Others pointed out that livestock were also at risk from ignorance of country ways. “We are aware of many reports of animals being attacked by dogs off the lead, or of dogs being injured when a herd is frightened and pursues the dog,” said Katy Geary, a spokeswoman for the RSPCA. “We believe that tens of thousands of livestock are killed or maimed. Terrified sheep and cattle have been chased over cliffs and into rivers, had their throats and intestines ripped out, or been caused to miscarry through dog attacks. People find it hard to believe their pet can be a hazard to livestock.”

Whatever triggered the attack on him, Blunkett knows he is lucky to be alive. “I didn’t realise the seriousness at first – I had no idea I had broken my ribs.” He says he has lived in the countryside since he was a boy and had never been worried about bulls or cows. Along with others, he may now steer well clear.

Six tips for safety

If confronted by cows…

• Do be prepared for cattle to react to your presence, particularly if you are with a dog.

• Do move quickly and quietly – and if possible walk around them.

• Do keep your dog close and under proper control.

• Don’t hang on to your dog if you are threatened by animals – let it go.

• Don’t put yourself at risk. Find another way round and rejoin the footpath as soon as possible.

• Don’t panic. Most cows will stop before they reach you. If they follow, just walk on quietly.

• Report any problems to the highway authority.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Tax case rocks champion of India’s lowest caste

Kumari Mayawati Das, the low-caste champion who became a political star in the run-up to the recent Indian general elections, has become embroiled in fraud allegations, amid accusations that success has gone to her head.

Mayawati, the self-styled queen of the Dalits [untouchables], suffered a setback when her Bahujan Samaj party took only 20 seats in her home state of Uttar Pradesh instead of the expected haul of 60-plus.

An intemperate attack on the memory of Mahatma Gandhi provoked protests in the streets after she dismissed the revered father of the nation as a “fake” for failing to do enough for Dalits.

Now Mayawati is facing even worse trouble, as the cult of personality that has carried her so far threatens to prove to be her undoing.

On Friday she is due to unveil 40 statues – including six of herself – at a lavish ceremony in Lucknow, the Uttar Pradesh state capital. The statues include a large number of elephants, symbol of her party. Such grandiose gestures have prompted widespread derision and left her facing a legal action which accuses her of misusing state funds for her “self-glorification”.

But even that crisis is dwarfed by the scale of the latest disaster to befall the 53-year-old politician. An investigation by the income tax authorities into her vast personal fortune has concluded that she has been dramatically understating the scale of her income for a number of years. As a result, she is now facing a 100m rupees tax bill (£1.25m) after the revenue decided her real income for one year alone [2006-7] was 220m rupees, rather than the 22m she had declared.

At the root of the financial inquiry is the question of whether the millions of rupees presented to Mayawati every year by supporters and those seeking favour as “birthday presents” constitute income. The investigators think so and are determined to overturn an earlier decision to grant her tax relief on the “presents”. They believe the “presents” amount to income and noted that after her birthday her bank balance swelled significantly.

For her part, Mayawati claims in her appeal against the department that “gifts given to her on occasion of her birthday celebrations were personal in nature and did not accrue to her due to her office or occupation and there was no quid pro quo or service provided to donors.”

Plans are going ahead for the unveiling of the statues, despite a public interest petition to the supreme court from two lawyers which seeks an inquiry into the use of state funds for the projects.

But with Mayawati determined to press ahead in front of a crowd of 6,000 guests on Friday, another problem has surfaced. Stonemasons working on two stupas, or Buddhist domes, at the Ambedkar memorial – another of her grand projects – will not be able to complete them in time.

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds



Reviewing Katine: governance

To mark the midway point of the Katine project, and ahead of mid-point reviews to be conducted by our independent evaluator and Amref, this week Madeleine Bunting examines progress in each of the project’s five components. In her final review she looks at governance.

Read Madeleine’s reviews of health, education, water and sanitation and livelihoods

Empowerment has been the strand of the project that us journalists have found the hardest to understand. What exactly is empowerment, and how is it going to be measured or evaluated? I’ve listened to Joshua Kyallo, Amref Uganda’s director, explain how villagers can be empowered to demand better services from the government at district level. But there are plenty of questions in my mind as to how effective this will be in improving the operation of state services in Katine.

The district budgets for health and education, for roads and water are desperately inadequate. It is not just the lack of demand for services that causes the state to be so ineffectual at village level here. I find the “rights-based” approach, based on developing in villagers a sense of entitlement to basic health and education, hard to understand. Katine may put more pressure on the district, but there are multiple problems at every level of Ugandan government; often the district can do very little.

There are other aspects of empowerment that also need to be questioned. I talked to a few Katine residents – not those recruited as volunteers by Amref – and the way they spoke seemed to indicate that Amref was well regarded, but there was no great enthusiasm. I felt that in some places there was a gentle disappointment settling in. Several of the Amref staff spoke of how they had struggled with huge expectations of the project from Katine villagers. Is that the Guardian’s fault, I asked, with its headlines promising “transformation”? Perhaps partly, they agreed.

I wondered how actively Amref has managed expectations and how widely it had communicated with villagers across this very scattered sub-county about what the project was going to do and what it was not going to do. Joseph Malinga’s story about the confusions in a particularly remote corner of the sub-county, Merok, seemed to point to an important breakdown in communications. How was it that this kind of misunderstanding was not corrected by Amref earlier?

There is a sense that Amref decided what it wanted to do in Katine and the extent to which local people – beyond the local government officials – have been involved in that strategy is unclear. There is clearly a tension here between giving people what is known to be good for them – hygiene training – or giving them what they keep asking for – cows. The only way to square this circle is constant communication and explanation and from the outside it is hard to see how well Amref is doing that.

The concern is that given the considerable demands the Guardian makes on Amref – for information and visits – the priority has been to communicate with London rather than the remote hamlets of Katine.

What we need to know

How well are local people being involved in the project?
How much say have they had in shaping its priorities?
Is Amref’s relationship with the Guardian distorting the project?
How does empowerment in the long run help deliver better services?

guardian.co.uk © Guardian News & Media Limited 2009 | Use of this content is subject to our Terms & Conditions | More Feeds